Well I went 6-3 during the weekday games and have now gone 19-6 my last 25 plays. Looking to keep it going today. BOL Everyone
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Arkansas/ Ole Miss Under 45: The Under is 13-3 in the Rebels’ last 16 road games and 4-1 in Arkansas’ last 5 SEC games. This game will be all about defense as the Rebels have one of the best in the nation, while the Razorbacks have played much better defense of late and excellent defense at home. Ole Miss has scored 28 ppg on the road, but one road game was vs a bad A&M defense and another was vs a bad Vandy defense. Their third road game was vs LSU and they scored just 7 points in that game and this Arkansas defense is much more like that of the Tigers than the first tow that Ole Miss faced on the road. The Hogs have allowed just 11.3 ppg in their last 3 games overall and just 16 ppg at home, which includes allowing a strong Alabama offense just 10 FD’s, 14 points and 227 total yards in an earlier game on this field. The Ole Miss defense has been very solid this year, allowing just 12 ppg overall and 11 ppg on the road, plus they have allowed just 15 ppg in SEC play and Arkansas has scored just 20 ppg in SEC play. Ole Miss and Arkansas both played LSU and Alabama, who both have great defenses and both games were low scoring. This one will follow suit as both defenses are tough and both offenses run the ball and are very conservative. Look for a 17-13 type game here.
Memphis/ South Florida Under 46: The Memphis defense has been excellent this year, as they come in ranked 8th in tyhe nation in points allowed, giving up just 17.5 ppg overall, while at home they have allowed just 16.3 ppg. Now they will face a bad USF offense that scored very little on the worst defense in the nation last week and averages just 18.6 ppg for the year. Overall USF is 122nd in total yards and 120th in scoring. The USF defense has been rather average this year and Memphis is not a powerful offensive team. They run allot and really move methodically down the field. That should keep the clock moving and their scoring down, while their defense keeps the USF scoring in check. 27-7 sounds about right.
BAYLOR -29.5 over Oklahoma State: The Bears have to hang a big margin of victory up on the Cowboys in this one and that is a good reason to be laying this many points, which is something I don't normally do. The Pears are tops in the nation in scoring and total yards, plus they are 3rd in the nation in passing. That is not good news for an OSU squad that is very young on defense and comes in with the 119th rated pass defense in the nation. Now for the Bears they are not all about offense as they come in ranked 14th in yards allowed and 19th in points allowed, giving up just 21 ppg. For the Cowboys they have scored 26.3 ppg, but all of that was done in the first half of the year as they have averaged a horrible 10 ppg in their last 4 games. That will not get it done vs the Bears in this one. I can see this as a 58-17 type game, but don't be surprised if they win by a bunch more as they will look to run up the score in this one.
Wisconsin/ Iowa Under 52.5: A couple of power running teams and a couple of solid defenses should keep the scoring low in this game. The Badgers have been awesome on the defensive side of the ball of late, allowing just 180 ypg and 11.8 ppg in their last 4 games. Overall now this defense is 1st in yards allowed (244 ypg) and 3rd in points allowed (15.3 ppg). They will face an Iowa offense that is very methodically and conservative in nature and average just 5.3 yards per play on the year, while Wisconsin is 2nd in the nation allowing just 4.0 yards per play, including just 2.8 ypp in their last 3 games. Don't expect chuck plays from the Iowa offense in this one. On defense the Hawkeyes are 18th in total yards allowed and 17th in ypp allowed (4.6). At home this year they have allowed just 314.6 ypg and 18.4 ppg, while the Badgers have scored a very average 27.3 ppg on the road. The Under is 7-1 in the Badgers last 8 following a spread win, while the Under is 5-1 in Iowa's last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 24-17 sounds about right for this one.
Boise State/ Wyoming Under 53: This has not been a good offensive series for the Cowboys as they have scored no more than 17 in any of the last 6 meetings between the teams. Now this Wyoming offense comes in having averaged just 15.4 ppg at home and will be playing in horribly windy conditions. I cannot see them scoring a whole lot here. The Boise State offense has not been as explosive as in years past and while they have averaged 35.2 ppg on the road, it will be hard for them to move the ball through the Air, which is usually their game plan, plus they will take on a solid Wyoming defense that has allowed just 203.4 ypg passing and 18.2 ppg at him this year. Wyoming home games have gone 4-1 to the under, with an average of just 33.6 ppg being scored. I cant's see a whole lot more than that scored in this one, especially in nearly 40 mph winds.
BEST OF THE REST
Arizona State/ Washington State Over 71.5: Washington State is all about the pass as they rank 1st in the nation in that department, while ranking 127th in rushing. No ground game at all here and they will have to throw it all over the yard if they hope to keep pace with the high powered Arizona State offense that has averaged 36 ppg overall and 34 ppg at home. Let’s also note that ASU is now out of the playoff picture which means they just let it all hang out and have some offensive fun in this one. Vs a defense that allows 38 ppg on the year should make it easy for them to do that. Both teams should make this a fun one.
Vanderbilt +30.5 over MISSISSIPPI STATE: Vanderbilt has not had a good year, but they also haven’t lost a game by more than 27 points since week 2 vs Ole Miss. The Bulldogs come in off that crushing loss to Alabama and they have a date with Ole Miss on deck, so they may not be fully focused here. Yes I know they have to win big, but I just feel it will be hard for them to do that here, especially knowing that they just have to win out to be in the playoffs and that really makes next weeks game vs Ole miss that much more important. Miss State could win by just 21 here and will still be in the top 4. That makes this a flat spot for them and Vandy will find a way to cover this one.
USC/ UCLA Over 62.5: The USC offense has been a strong bunch all year as they have put up 25 ppg overall and 36.6 ppg in in their last 7 PAC-12 games. They will face a UCLA defense that has held just 1 of their last 6 opponents to less than 30 points. This defense has been torched many times this year, while the offense has put up plenty of points on the year, averaging 35 ppg overall and 37 ppg in conference play. USC did just allow 30 points to a high powered Cal offenses last week so they can be scored on and UCLA surely will. I look for this one to be played in the upper 60’s.
CALIFORNIA +6 over Stanford: Huge rivalry game here and that has me looking at a Cal team that has played inspired ball of late and are taking on a Stanford team that just has not played well down the stretch. The Stanford defense has been solid this year, but they seem to be wearing down, as they have allowed 26.3 ppg in their last 3 games, while also allowing 25.3 ppg on the road. Now they face a California offense that has put up 38.7 ppg in their last 3 and 39.2 ppg at home. The Stanford offense is not the same as last year and I just don’t see them scoring enough points to win this one.
10 Point Teaser: Ohio State -24.5 & Louisiana Tech -1.5 & Penn State/ Illinois Under 55.5
Wake Forest/ Va Tech Under 40
Louisiana Tech -11.5 over OLD DOMINION
10 Point Teaser: Michigan State -12.5 & Minnesota +20 & Louisville +12.5
10 Point Teaser: Virginia +15.5 & Missouri +14 & Boise State -2.5
UNLV/ Hawaii Under 57
Georgia State/ Clemson Under 57.5
CFB 2014
Top Plays Overall 39-42-1 (-22.4 Units)... 4 Unit 1-3-0 (-9.2 Units)
Top Play Totals 21-31-0 (-42.5 Units)... Power Angle Plays 4-2-0 (+6.1 Units)... Top Play Teasers 2-2-0 (-0.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 99-80-2 (+21.46 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 53-35-1 (+27.8 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 21-28-0 (-17.6 Units)