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I've seen many people have different takes on this. Some won't go above -130 or -140 or -150. I know some people only bet on dogs. And I've also seen some say it doesn't matter if it's -150, -200, or -275, as long as they see value in it, they'll make the bet. So I'm wondering how y'all think about it.
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Value, matchups, travel, situation, lineups, weather. There are many factors in any game. I have an open mind when capping dogs or favs.
-120
Any particular reason why you chose that number?
I don't bet bases but a team winning 56% is doing pretty good so going above -130 doesn't make much sense to me
Road favorites of -200 or lower (-210, -220, etc.) are 26-3 since 2012 (with an ROI of 31.5%). Maybe there's some value in that?
Lozo, I'm trying to understand when you say -200 or lower (-210-220, etc.) that Would be -200 or Higher wouldn't it? I would think when you say -200 or Lower, it would mean -190, -180, etc. just trying to be sure Which way you mean! Thanks!
I was just using real numbers. Like in real life -220 is lower than -200. I don't really know gambling lingo that well, so I could mean -200 or higher?
K, Thanks Bud & GL!
It all depends. Sometimes there is value in a line at -200, just ask Ben Burns lol. In reference to baseball, unless someone has a big enough bank roll and is willing and able to eat the chalk, they might consider splitting the RL and ML in order to lower the odds closer to even on heavy favorites.
Picking spots i have no problem backing up to -180 for a fav....i try to not go above a +140 dog.
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