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Nover's View: Tuesday MLB Free Play

Thread Starter Nover's View: Tuesday MLB Free Play
Stephen Nover
Joined: 08/16/2007
Posts: 1865
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Tuesday, July 22

Mets plus $1.10 at Mariners

The pitching matchup and situation are ripe for a Mets victory. New York is the envy of many teams with its bevy of promising young pitchers. Jacob deGrom can take his place with any of them. He is the real deal. The right-hander has allowed six earned runs in his last five starts spanning 32 2/3 innings. deGrom has 38 strikeouts during this span.

Only Houston has a lower batting average versus right-handers in the American League than Seattle. The Mariners have dropped nine of their last 12 interleague home games when facing a righty.

The Mariners want to give Felix Hernandez and Hisahi Iwakuma an extra day of rest so they have brought Erasmo Ramirez back into the rotation to start this game. Ramirez was sent down to the minors on June 25 after going 0-4 with a 4.89 ERA in his last 10 starts. Ramirez has been at his worst in interleague competition going 0-2 with a 7.77 ERA in five career starts versus NL foes. Seattle is 4-12 in Ramirez's last 16 starts.

The Mets hit 21 points higher when they play at AL parks. New York is 13-6 in its last 19 interleague away contests.

There are certain flats spots in a season and this sure looks like one for Seattle. The Mariners came out of All-Star break playing the Angels in an important division series. Each game was decided by one run. One game was decided in the ninth inning. The other games went 12 and 16 innings.

The Mariners just defeated the Mets last night. So in the last four days, the Mariners have played 46 innings with their bullpen logging 26 1/3 innings during this span.

On the business side, I went 1-1 on Monday easily winning my over in the Giants-Phillies game, but losing badly with the Blue Jays. I am 12-3-2 on my last 17 paid over/unders and am 8-2 on my past 10 Triple Stars with my Triple Star Chalk Game of the Month going today. It's my strongest opinion of a game this month and can be viewed here: http://pregame.com/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper

As always, no bad luck! 

Stephen Nover: My Best Bets | Free Picks |My Blogs
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Tony George
Joined: 08/22/2006
Posts: 8536
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Fatigue a huge factor in this game..I had a forum freebee on Seattle last night...but not leaning their way today......

Regards,

Tony George -  Pregame Pro Handicapper since 2007 - Radio Host on Yahoo Sports Radio  

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Danny Action
Joined: 07/12/2012
Posts: 2980
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Nice hit Stephen.

Stephen Nover
Joined: 08/16/2007
Posts: 1865
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Top 500 Contributor

Thanks Danny. Are you as strong on NFL and college football as you are in the NBA?

Stephen Nover: My Best Bets | Free Picks |My Blogs
A genuine sports betting journalist
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!

Danny Action
Joined: 07/12/2012
Posts: 2980
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looking for a big NFL! Majority of my bets outside NBA/NFL are based on others opinions.

slim pickens
Joined: 04/04/2008
Posts: 836
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Nice winner! Thanks.


 

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