We made a little bit of money yesterday, thanks in large part to a double-dip on a parlay. We did lose the Reds and the over as a free play, and for the 100th time this season I am simply not looking at a Reds game. Or, if I do, fade it. On to Sunday.
967 KAN (+125) BetOnline vs 968 CLE |
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Analysis: I don't agree with the overnight line move, and honestly there's not THAT many bets on the game that gives me pause. The Indians are almost an auto-fade against LHP, as they're just 11-16 on the season against lefties. I do like Duffy quite a bit. He's turning out to be all the people thought he'd be two years ago when he was rushed to the bigs. I also like the fact that the Indians haven't seen him this season, while Kluber has pitched against the Royals twice. We know also that the Royals are a play-on against RHP's. Although the Indians won last night handily, they did all their damage in 4+ innings off of Guthrie, which is exactly what we expected. The Royals actually had 12 hits, so it's not like their bats have gone silent. In fact, they're hitting .280 this week while Cleveland sits at .223. Infante should be back for the Royals, and without boring you guys with more stats, I see Duffy simply out-dueling Kluber here.
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