Saturday, May 17, 2014

Reds plus $1.10 at Phillies

It doesn't matter who is pitching for Philadelphia. Until the Phillies get their bats going they are a fade especially as a favorite.

The Phillies are averaging 2.4 runs in their last 11 games. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have dropped four in a row.

Philadelphia figures to have trouble against Homer Bailey, a hot-and-cold pitcher who is hot this month going 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA. Bailey didn't allow the Phillies a run in two starts last season spanning 15 innings.

Cincinnati is 24-8 the past 32 times Bailey has faced an opponent on the road that has a losing record. Bailey also is 11-4 when pitching on five day's rest.

The Phillies are starting Cole Hamels, who has yet to get going with a 5.32 ERA. The lefty threw a career-high 133 pitches during his last start five days ago. The Phillies are 5-16 in Hamels' last 21 starts when he's pitched on five day's rest. Philadelphia also is 0-6 in Hamels' past six starts.

The Reds are without their two top left-handed bats, injured Jay Bruce and Joey Votto. Their bats, though, won't be missed so much in this matchup against the left-handed Hamels. Bruce is batting .216 and Votto is just 4-for-22 in his last 26 at bats.

In addition to this free offering, I also have an early discounted MLB play today. On Sunday, I have a Triple Star going on the Heat-Pacers Game 1 matchup. I am 37-20-1 on my last 58 Triple Stars and have won my last four NBA plays by a combined 63 1/2 points against the spread. These plays can be found here: http://pregame.com/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper.

As always, no bad luck!