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Mike Shuttlesworth MLB Saturday

Thread Starter Mike Shuttlesworth MLB Saturday
Mike Shuttlesworth
Joined: 09/28/2007
Posts: 4595
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Top 150 Contributor

Colorado Rockies -132  Triple Star  LOSER

Braves/Cardinals Over 7 -120 1 Unit  LOSER

CarsonK
Joined: 02/13/2014
Posts: 6950
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Hey, whats up?

Good Luck Mike!!!

Mike Shuttlesworth
Joined: 09/28/2007
Posts: 4595
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Top 150 Contributor

Don't see much reason to not go back to the well on this one. May give more in the morning but here is the short version

Colorado AT HOME where they are 14-5 against a left handed starter 

Colorado is the #2 ranked offense against left handed pitching (with park and league adjustment) and they have a .854 OPS against lefties

Colorado is the #1 ranked home offense by an extremely large margin (even with park and league adjustment) and they have a 1.001 OPS at home

Erlin is 1-2 with an era of 6.00 on the road this season and has a night era of 5.55. It's always nice to pitch in Petco Park, not so much at Coors.  He only has a 37% ground ball rate, meaning line drives and fly balls are the majority, which doesn't exactly translate well to Coors field

Jordan Lyles has been the Rockies best pitcher so far and he has a ground ball rate around 55% right now, which is a huge plus at Coors Field. He is 3-0 with a 1.25 era in his 3 home starts.  He is controlling both right handed and left handed hitters at the moment. Eventually his numbers will rise, but I'm not sure the Padres are the team to do it. 

The Padres are the 30th ranked offense (with adjustments) against right handed pitching and have a .594 OPS

Hopefully this line doesn't shoot down on me like it did yesterday. 

Mike Shuttlesworth
Joined: 09/28/2007
Posts: 4595
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

and one more

Braves/Cardinals Over 7 -120 1 Unit

blunted
Joined: 02/19/2013
Posts: 284
Jr. College
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GL Mike.  I'm tailing with you.  I have been watching the line tank for the last 20 minutes though.  Looks a little shady, was trying to find out info on what is causing the line move.  

coreyw454
Joined: 10/05/2013
Posts: 1028
Pro Draft Prospect
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yup. complete agreement with the Rockies play. may even split bet on RL

smokinjo
Joined: 01/21/2010
Posts: 85
Prep School
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Liked this game too!!, but played Colorado 1st 5 at -118. GL"

sleepyj
Joined: 11/01/2012
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Good Luck today Mike

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freeneasy
Joined: 07/27/2007
Posts: 2168
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Top 500 Contributor

have Colorado at -169 mike

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