Nick Parsons Forum Pick for Wednesday MLB (28-12, 70% run on Premium MLB Picks)

FREE Pick: RAYS Its certainly impressive what the Angels have managed to accomplish on the road this season. They are not only the only American League team to have a winning record on the road, they are still 14 games above .500 on the road despite losing each of the first two games in this series to the Rays. To put this amazing 39-25 record in perspective, they are one of only four MLB teams with a wining record away from home! The other three are all in the National League with the Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers, and Philadelphia Phillies all above .500 away from home. Now that we said all that good stuff about the Angels let us all say this: Theyve now met their match! The Rays have the best home record out of all 30 MLB teams with a fantastic 47-17 mark on the season. Wednesday evening they also send one of Tropicana Fields most dominating hurlers to the mound! Matt Garza is 6-2 at home this season with a 2.47 ERA and hes holding opponents to a .225 batting average at Tampa Bay! Note that Garza has allowed 0 or 1 run in six of his last dozen starts. That is dominance and hes facing an Angels team tonight that has been having trouble scoring runs! The Angels lineup has suddenly hit a brick wall as theyre averaging just three runs per game in their last five games. This wont cut it against a Rays club that is averaging over 5.5 runs per game this month. Keep in mind Tampa Bay plays with a lot of confidence at home too and confidence is something Angels starter Jered Weaver could be lacking in tonight! The Los Angeles right-hander has averaged just five innings per start in his last five starts. Also, hes given up 18 earned runs on 10 walks and 29 hits in these 25 innings. That works out to a 1.56 WHIP and those are hardly the numbers that Weaver is use to producing and his struggles will continue here. Weaver is jut 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in his career starts indoors and hes likely to struggle against at Tropicana Field tonight as Tampa Bay stays red hot at home!

I am leaning strong this way as well for tonight....GL