Friday's MLB Value Plays can be found in the message thread below.
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Monday's Value Plays
Studs to Start
Ryan Braun, Brewers vs. Pirates ($97,136)
Ryan Braun owns certain pitchers. Today’s matchup is one of those cases. He is 14 for 39 with 4 home runs, 8 RBI and a .444 on-base percentage against Wandy Rodriguez. Enough said.
Carlos Pena, Astros vs. Yankees ($43,472)
Despite the fact I will advocate for Pettitte later, Pena has done well against the Yankees lefty. He owns a .326 batting average in 43 at-bats with 6 homers and 11 RBI in his career against Andy Pettitte. Not bad for a small priced guy.
Omar Infante, Tigers vs. Twins ($67,392)
Looking for a small play today that can give you some extra points? Look no further then Infante, who is 15 for 30 with 3 RBI against Mike Pelfrey. Not a bad ratio to play when trying to find those extra points.
Eric Hosmer, Royals vs. Indians ($49,296)
Hosmer has turned it on of late and will now enjoy a matchup against a pitcher he seems to do well against. He is 5 for 8 with 2 home runs against Ubaldo Jimenez and should be a very popular pick to click tonight.
Nick Swisher, Indians vs. Royals ($71,968)
While Swisher has fit in well for his new club, he should be avoided tonight, as he is 2 for 13 with 5 strikeouts against Wade Davis. There are plenty of other options to play, so avoid the switch hitter.
Alex Gonzalez, Brewers vs. Pirates ($49,504)
With all of the injuries to the Brewers Alex Gonzalez has been receiving significant playing time. However, he should be avoided in all formats, as he is 2 for 23 with 6 strikeouts during his career against Wandy Rodriguez. Not the best ratio, so please avoid, especially since he is banged up a bit as well.
Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies vs. Dodgers ($85,280)
Tulo may miss this game regardless with an injury, but if he somehow talks his way into tonight’s lineup, he should be avoided. He is 4 for 32 with 11 strikeouts against Ted Lilly, who is expected to start for the Dodgers. Avoid playing him.
Matt Harvey, Mets vs. Marlins $152,960)
I will continue to start Harvey every chance I get. Despite not having his best stuff last week against the Dodgers, Harvey still had a quality start, with plenty of strikeouts, and the Mets won the game. Now he faces a Marlins team that lacks much punch outside of Giancarlo Stanton. I love this matchup for big points in all formats.
Andy Pettitte, Yankees vs. Astros ($116,960)
It is amazing how solid Pettitte has been this season for the Yankees. His ERA is staggering in the 2’s and given the fact he faces a weak-hitting lineup in the Astros makes this a stellar play. He should be able to go deep into the game, rack up the strikeouts and be pitching from in front. All the key ingredients to a solid fantasy night.
Jeff Samardzija, Cubs vs. Padres ($104,480)
Love this matchup. Tons of K’s, low amount of runs against, run support against a weak pitcher. Much like Pettitte, Samardzija should be golden today. Should get some more points with strikeouts then Andy, but more of a risk to surrender some runs. Solid play any way you look at it.
Ted Lilly, Dodgers vs. Rockies ($93,920)
Lilly was solid in his return to the hill for his 2013 debut against the Mets last week and pitching at home, he should be able to provide some low end value today against the Rockies. The Dodgers should score plenty against Tyler Chatwood, so he should be pitching with a lead. If that is the case he can be more aggressive and let his defense make plays behind him. Like this play a lot.
Mat Latos, Reds vs. Cardinals ($105,280)
Latos continues to be a rock for the Reds, despite only having one win on the year. His ERA of just over 2.00 is stellar, but he may struggle on the road against the Cardinals. They seem to be hitting very well right now despite the struggles of David Freese and the injury to Matt Adams. Their lineup remains one of the deepest in MLB and given the other solid options today, Latos may be a tad risky.
Wandy Rodriguez, Pirates vs. Brewers ($84,480)
Yes Wandy is off to a sensational start for the Pirates, but given his lackluster history against the Brewers (8-8 record, 1.40+ WHIP), and his history against their player Ryan Braun as discussed earlier, this is not the right play for tonight. Safer options exist and the Pirates may struggle to provide him much support given they are going against Yovani Gallardo.
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Rules and Scoring
The rules you should know about when building your roster:
For your team to be valid you must choose:
(1) of C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B
Roster Budget – you have 1 million fantasy dollars to draft your team. You must stay below the cap.
Scoring Rules are as followed:
Run Batted In
Hit By Pitch
Grounded into Double-Play
Best of luck tonight!
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Johnny - 9 guys advanced in the chase for $20,000! Kaneb, Shyne, Skiroy, cmbrown15, rossi23, bravesbaseball12, futureoffantasy, Scottydog, and joelbartilotta all beat GoodFella!
Thanks for the event. That GoodFella puts together a tough lineup every week!
Skiroy - we have another great event this Friday - click here for the details.
Here are Tuesday's Plays:
Joe Mauer, Twins vs. Tigers ($64,272)
I would normally not recommend anyone against Tigers Ace Justin Verlander, however Joe Mauer seems to fair well against him. He owns a .373 batting average with 3 home runs with 9 RBI’s, 12 walks and a .479 on-base percentage against the stud pitcher. Best catching play of the day.
Ryan Braun, Brewers vs. Pirates ($96,928)
For the 2nd day in a row Braun makes this list because of his previous numbers against James McDonald. He is 6 for 13 with 2 home runs, 10 RBI and 2 stolen bases against the Pirates starter, thus making this play a no brainer.
Jayson Werth, Nationals vs. Braves ($59,488)
Werth often gets lost in the Nats lineup with the big boppers around him, but his 15 for 39, 3 home runs and 11 RBI against Tim Hudson will not be overlooked today. If he is in the lineup after fouling a ball off last night and leaving the game, consider using him.
Jon Jay, Cardinals vs. Reds ($54,704)
Another player that seems to fit a need for a valuable outfielder is the Cardinals centerfielder. Jay owns a 11 for 28 career batting line, with one home run and 3 RBI against Bronson Arroyo. Love his potential hitting atop the Cards order. Solid play.
Edwin Encarnacion, Blue Jays vs. Red Sox ($82,368)
The Blue Jays as a team are off to a rough start, especially their offense. That does not lend to much confidence in owners, especially for those looking to play Encarnacion who is 4 for 24 with 6 strikeouts against Jon Lester. Avoid him today.
Mike Napoli, Red Sox vs. Blue Jays ($78,832)
Across the diamond Mike Napoli seems to struggle against Blue Jays fireballer Brandon Morrow. In 14 at-bats he only has 2 hits, while amassing 7 strikeouts. There are better options, with better numbers to play, so despite his hot start, do not play Napoli.
Giancarlo Stanton, Marlins vs. Mets ($85,072)
In one of the more odd matchup histories I have seen in a while, Stanton is 1 for 10 with 5 strikeouts against Jeremy Hefner. Yes Jeremy Hefner of the Mets. Those numbers seem to be puzzling, but also may be a trend. I would stay away and find a safer slugger to use in all formats.
James Shields, Royals vs. Rays ($115,200)
Both sides will be amped up to face each other as Shields faces his former team. He has been rock solid this year for his new club and with the Rays not scoring runs in bunches, he faces a lineup he should be able to handle. A solid investment for tonight.
Hiroki Kuroda, Yankees vs. Astros ($113,600)
Yes we recommended Pettitte yesterday and he got lit up by the punchless Astros. I do not see that happening two nights in a row, especially against a more talented pitcher like Kuroda. Kuroda is also 3-0 with an ERA of 1.61 during his career against the Astros. Well worth the $113k+ price.
Edwin Jackson, Cubs vs. Padres ($78,400)
Yes Jackson is off to a rough start this year with an ERA approaching 5 and a WHIP over 1.40, but the Padres are not potent offensively and eventually Jackson has to find his groove. When looking for a bargain on the mound I also like getting strikeouts, which Jackson usually delivers. Worth a gamble for sure.
Garrett Richards, Angels vs. A’s ($66,560)
Richards has been up and down for the Angels this year, however after last nights 19 inning game between these two teams, the Oakland bats may be a bit tired, thus lending Richards to a solid matchup. He has a history of shutting down solid offensive teams (just ask the Tigers). If he can go 6 or 7 innings in this one, which he may be forced to do since the bullpen is worn out after last night, he should be OK to deliver some solid value, especially given the price.
Gio Gonzalez, Nationals vs. Braves ($108,480)
Yes the Braves offense is failing to live up to their red-hot start, but there are too many factors in why I would reserve Gonzalez today in his matchup with Atlanta. Because the Braves are a predominately right-handed hitting lineup (Upton brothers, Uggla, Reed Johnson, Chirs Johnson, Simmons, Gattis, etc), they fair well against lefties. Then take into account Gio’s career numbers against the Bravos. He is 2-3 with an ERA over 6.00. Bench him
Tim Hudson, Braves vs. Nationals ($90,080)
While Gio has fared terribly against the Braves, the same cannot be said for Tim Hudson, who is 15-5 with an ERA of 2.60 lifetime against the Nats. Problem is those were bad Nationals teams, this one is not. I like the lefty Nats bats (LaRoche, Lombardozzi, Harper, Espinoza, etc) to get it going in this one in what may turn out to be a surprising high scoring affair.
Here are Wednesday's MLB Value Plays - let's make some money!
David Ortiz, Red Sox vs. Blue Jays ($100,880)
Since his return from the disabled list Big Papi has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball. His presence in the Red Sox lineup is immense and has fueled them to the top of the division. Now he faces Mark Buehrle, who he has fared well against in his career. In 61 at-bats Ortiz is hitting .361 with 3 home runs and 13 RBI against the lefty. Love the matchup.
Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks vs. Giants ($74,672)
Talk about ownership. Goldy is 8 for 14 with 5 home runs and 10 RBI career against Tim Lincecum. That is a staggering stat line given the success of the pitcher it comes against. Make sure the D’Backs first basemen is in your lineup.
Vernon Wells, Yankees vs. Astros ($73,632)
Wells has been a solid sleeper in many situations already in 2013, and his matchup against Eric Bedard is another plus one for him. He is 11 for 32 with one home run and 3 RBI lifetime against him and is a solid play to fill out your outfield.
Adam Lind, Blue Jays vs. Red Sox ($43,888)
While Lind has struggled ot maintain the solid play he had during the early part of his career, he may have a one night resurgence against the Red Sox. He is 11 for 35 with 2 home runs and 4 RBI against Clay Buchholz. Given the price, not a bad option.
Andre Ethier, Dodgers vs. Rockies ($61,360)
Ethier has really struggled to start the year and the more and more he does the Dodgers are going to look to other places to generate offense. He should be in line for a nice night as he faces Rockies righty Juan Nicascio. He is 7 for 11 with one home run and four RBI against him, so for the value his price brings, not too bad.
Nate McLouth, Orioles vs. Mariners ($73,008)
McLouth has played very well for the Orioles this year and is on a tear at the plate. Tonight though is a matchup to avoid for him. The outfielder is 3 for 27 with 11 strikeouts against Aaron Harang. While this may seem like a tasty matchup for McLouth, there are too many at-bats to ignore here.
Dan Uggla, Braves vs. Nationals ($45,968)
Uggla has been hitting much better of late and his batting average is closing in on .200 again. But with a lifetime 2 for 13 batting line against Jordan Zimmerman, that may regress for a night. Avoid the Braves second basemen.
Cliff Lee, Phillies vs. Indians ($107,840)
Lee returns to Cleveland to take on his former club. He has pitched very well to begin 2013 and with the Indians ranking as one of the worst offensive teams in MLB to start the season, Lee provides the best matchup for a starter on the day. When choosing an ace for Wednesday, Lee is the pick.
Wei-Yin Chen, Orioles vs. Mariners ($96,000)
Chen’s start to the 2013 season is nothing short of remarkable. He has a 2.53 ERA with a WHIP at exactly 1.00 and given his previous success against the Mariners (2.84 ERA and .79 WHIP), he remains a top option for those looking for a second reliable starter for the first day of May.
Andrew Cashner, Padres vs. Cubs ($63,200)
Cashner is one of those arms that if he ever puts it together, avoids injury and pitches a full season, can establish himself as a fantasy asset. I like this matchup against the free-swinging Cubs as he has been solid while racking up the strikeouts. And for the bargain price of $63k, you cannot get any better.
David Phelps, Yankees vs. Astros ($15,000)
Two key reasons for this play. The $15k price tag for any starting pitcher is solid. Then add into it the fact he faces the Astros and Phelps is the best value of the day. He may not go deep into this game, but if he goes 5 innings, he should be in line for a win, while limiting the Astros offense output. Well worth a gamble and the ability to spend more money elsewhere.
Chris Sale, White Sox vs. Rangers ($109,920)
Something has gone wrong for Sale so far in 2013 and things will not be getting any better for him when he faces the potent Rangers lineup. Despite a career 2-0 record against them, Sale’s ERA is 3.71, which is not stellar in a daily fantasy format. Avoid Sale with safer options out there, especially because of the lofty price tag.
Jeremy Hellickson, Rays vs. Royals ($86,880)
Some picks go against the grain and this one is one of them. Hellickson is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA and WHIP during his career against KC, but given the improved offense the Royals possess, coupled with the struggles Hellickson has had during the first month of 2013, makes him a lackluster option and someone we recommend avoiding.
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Here are Thursday's Value Plays.
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Nick Markakis, Orioles vs. Angels ($79,456)
Markakis is a solid player for the Orioles and someone to get in your lineup today. He is 6 for 12 with one home run and 4 RBI against Joe Blanton during his career and should provide some pop on your team.
Ryan Braun, Brewers vs. Cardinals ($92,144)
Braun has been featured a lot here recently and with good reason. He has had plus matchups against many pitchers he has done well against this week. That includes Jake Westbrook, who he is 10 for 19 with one home run and 3 RBI against. Play the Brewer bopper.
B.J. Upton, Braves vs. Nationals ($44,512)
I will be the first to say Upton is not a player I like owning or playing on fantasy teams and is generally someone I avoid. Not today. He owns a .323 batting average in 31 at-bats against Dan Haren with 5 home runs and 5 RBI. Worth the gamble.
Lance Berkman, Rangers vs. White Sox ($58,864)
Berkman faces a tough pitcher in Jake Peavy today, but he has done enough against him to warrant a start. He has a .400 on-base percentage with 2 home runs and 5 RBI against him and given the solid price, is a good play.
Edwin Encarnacion, Blue Jays vs. Red Sox ($92,560)
Encarnacion may be coming out of his early season funk as evidence by his two home run performance on Tuesday night, but for this day, he should be reserved. In 11 career at-bats against Red Sox pitcher Ryan Dempster he has 1 hit. Yes, just 1. That’s the 1 reason I need not to use him today.
Josh Hamilton, Angels vs Orioles ($62,816)
Another play that has been off to a rough start is Angels slugger Josh Hamilton. Hamilton also owns a 0 for 6 with 3 strikeouts batting line against Chris Tillman of the Orioles. Avoid him until he gets it going.
No stud arms to start that are guaranteed to have major impact tonight.
Kyle Kendrick, Phillies vs. Marlins ($105,120)
Kendrick is off to a surprising start to 2013 with an ERA in the 2’s and a winning record entering May. He now gets the Marlins, who despite their winning ways of late, are still the Marlins. The matchup is a juicy one for Kendrick, so start him with confidence.
Rick Porcello, Tigers vs. Astros ($34,080)
If Porcello is ever going to string some starts together that are solid, now is the time to do it. Last time out he beat the Braves by allowing only 3 earned runs in 6.1 innings pitched. Now he takes on the Astros. The Tigers are also going to likely face Jordan Lyles who will be up from Triple-A. He should get the run support and pitch well enough to win this one.
Ryan Dempster, Red Sox vs. Blue Jays ($113,440)
Yes Dempster has been a solid addition to the Boston rotation this season and has led them to a hot start. The Blue Jays offense seems to be turning a corner and with a career ERA over 5.00 against the Jays during his career, there are enough other options, facing weaker offenses, to use today.
Dan Haren, Nationals vs. Braves ($67,680)
Haren has had one solid start so far in 2013. I do not see him making that two against the Braves. Their lineup is loaded with patient hitters who will drive Harens pitch count up. If the Marlins could do that two weeks ago, imagine how the Braves can wait out the slop he is throwing up, wait for a fastball, and crush it. Avoid Haren.
FRIDAY'S VALUE PLAYS
Michael Morse, Mariners vs. Blue Jays ($69,680)
Since returning from a hand injury it has taken Morse some time to regroup, get his swing back and continue his red hot pace he started during the first few weeks of the year. He should get it going tonight as he is 3 for 4 with one home run against JA Happ. This is a solid matchup for the slugger.
Carlos Beltran, Cardinals vs. Brewers ($70,720)
The best play of the day, regardless of price. Beltran is a .548 hitter in 42 at-bats against Kyle Lohse. Those staggering numbers include 4 home runs, 12 RBI’s and 11 walks. Enough said.
Eduardo Nunez, Yankees vs. Athletics ($39,312)
To save money for use elsewhere, Nunez is a solid play. At $39k he is the perfect low priced gamble to allow you to play aces and studs across the diamond. A’s pitcher A.J. Griffin has struggled of late and with Nunez playing in a solid offense in which runners are always on base for him to drive in, he is a solid play at SS or UTIL.
Kelly Johnson, Rays vs. Rockies ($52,208)
Johnson is a player that was once a fantasy darling but is now a dud on most nights. In a surprise, I will select him tonight given his matchup. He is 7 for 15 with one home run and 3 RBI against Jeff Francis, the soft-tossing lefty of the Rockies. Cheap price, big bargain.
Edwin Encarnacion ($91,104) and Jose Bautista ($75,296), Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Both sluggers of the Jays are potent fantasy contributors and capable of hitting a dinger at any at-bat. But given their history against King Felix, I would avoid them. They are both 3 for 12 against Felix Hernandez and thus make them unplayable, especially with a full slate of games where there are endless playable stars.
Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox vs. Rangers ($74,672)
Love Pedroia as a player but do not like his matchup and history against Derek Holland. He is 2 for 14 against the lefty with 0 walks. Not good. Play a safer option.
Buster Posey, Giants vs. Dodgers ($81,536)
Another fantasy player I love, but would not recommend tonight. Posey is a paltry 6 for 36 with 10 strikeouts against Clayton Kershaw. Those stats do enough to scare me. They should scare you as well.
Justin Masterson, Indians vs. Twins ($92,960)
Throw away Masterson’s 2-7 record in his career against the Twins. The previous teams he faced were potent offensively and he is pitching as well now as he has at any point in his career. I like the matchup for the talented righty.
Doug Fister, Tigers vs. Astros ($115,360)
Simple plug and play. Fister is 4-0 with an ERA under 2.40 and a solid strikeout to walk ratio. He will rack up the strikeouts against the Astros and the potent offense behind him will surely give him the lead. Love this play.
Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers vs. Giants ($130,720)
9-4 record. 1.28 ERA. .85 WHIP. Sick numbers for Kershaw in 17 career starts against the Giants. Enough said. Play the ace.
Jeremy Guthrie, Royals vs. White Sox ($87,200)
There are not too many solid value plays today and Guthrie is the best of the bunch. He owns a 5-5 record during his career against the White Sox but his ERA and WHIP are very solid and with a better offense behind him, he should be in line to have a nice outing and a win.
Matt Moore, Rays vs. Rockies ($122,240)
I simply do not like starting pitchers that pitch at Coors Field unless they are elite or have proven to have success there. While Moore is a borderline ace, he has no prior experience pitching in the elements. It may be a nice night in Denver, but if it is, that just means the ball will fly out of the yard. Let this start pass by and be ready to use the talented lefty in another instance.
Brandon Phillips, Reds vs. Braves ($69,472)
Phillips is off to a sensational start for the Reds and the second basemen has a great matchup against the Braves on Monday. He is a .353 hitter in 51 at-bats against Paul Maholm with 4 home runs and 10 RBI. Play him and enjoy.
Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers ($72,800)
Talking about ownership, Goldy is locked in when facing Dodgers lefty Chris Capuano. He is 9 for 12 with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 7 RBI against him. Enjoy the play tonight.
Mitch Moreland, Rangers vs. Cubs ($54,496)
Moreland has been swinging a much better bat in recent weeks and has now raised his average to .282 for the season. With four homers and 11 RBI on the year, he is worth playing, especially against a weak arm like Scott Feldman. The price is perfect too at $54k. Save some money on him and use it to snag some of the days premier starting pitchers.
Adrian Beltre, Rangers vs. Cubs ($80,912)
Beltre has been on fire of late but tonight may be a night he is one to bench in daily leagues. He is 2 for 16 against former teammate Scott Feldman during his career. Those numbers deserve attention, thus leaving Beltre on my sidelines.
Martin Prado, Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers ($63,232)
Another third basemen to avoid tonight is Martin Prado, who is 1 for 15 during his career against Chris Capuano. He also has been struggling to get it going during the 2013 season, so this is just another reason to let someone else play him, not you.
Madison Bumgarner, Giants vs. Phillies ($136,000)
Bumgarner has been the true ace of the Giants this season as he is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.55 and a WHIP under .90. He also enjoys a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio and an ERA in the mid 2’s against the Phillies for his career. This is a rock solid option for an ace on Monday.
Clay Buchholz, Red Sox vs. Twins ($140,320)
Clay has been dominant to start 2013 and if the All-Star game was tomorrow, he would be starting for the American League. His 6-0 record is no fluke and with a 3-1 career record against the Twins, he has every chance to make it 7-0 on the year tonight.
Nick Tepesch, Rangers vs. Cubs ($77,440)
While Scott Feldman is on our do not pitch list, Tepesch, his opposite number, should be played tonight. He did give up 5 earned runs during his last outing but much of that came in 7th inning after his bullpen entered. He owns a solid 3:1 strikeout to walk ratio and with the potent Rangers offense behind him, I like his potential for a big game tonight. Remember, just a week+ ago he dominated the Twins over 6.2 innings allowing only 5 hits and 1 run. Go for it.
Andrew Cashner, Padres vs. Marlins ($45,600)
Cashner did struggle last time out against the Cubs and did not make it to the 5th inning. But tonight he takes on the light hitting Marlins in his home ballpark. The Padres also should be able to score some runs for him as they take on Wade LeBlanc, so this is a sleeper play, especially with the rock bottom price of $45,600.
Scott Feldman, Cubs vs. Rangers ($73,280)
Yes Feldman is coming off a complete game win in which he struck out 12 batters. But he is now facing a potent Rangers lineup that seems to be heating up at just the right time. Not the best matchup for him, so stay away.
Ubaldo Jimenez, Indians vs. A’s ($42,240)
Yes Ubaldo is coming off a game in which he went 7 scoreless and struck out 4 against a solid Royals team. But his 1.33 WHIP is terrible and the A’s can score tons of runs. I do not like Ubaldo and will not recommend him until he is consistently not wild.