MLB Friday... 7-1-1 Tonight!!!

Well A decent 6-2 night, with my Top Plays going 2-1. I can deal with. When I was down 48 Units in my top plays I didn't get it all back at once. Took me 8 weeks of consistency to whittle it down and I can deal with that more than a two week run followed by a two week slump. Overall I have gone 13-4 the last 2 days, to bounceback from a tough week. Let's keep it going tonight. I will be back with  more in the morning. 

I didn't find a couple other Power Angels to post at the bottom. Just one of those days when there wasn't much out there. 

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Chicago/ Kansas City Under 8: Risky to take an Under with an offense like Chicago has vs Luis Mendoza, but still allot of stats do point to the Under here. Luis Mendoza has not pitched all that bad of late, as he comes in with a 3.71 ERA in his last 8 starts. Luis has allowed more than 3 ER's just twice over that stretch and while he has a 4.83 ERA at home, in his last 3 starts here that ERA is 3.00. He did face the Sox on the road during his last 8 starts and allowed 4 ER's in 7.1 innings of work, but in his lone start vs them here he allowed 2 ER's in 7.1 innings. Luis has faced the Sox 3 times from last year and this year and he has a 2.82 ERA in those starts, with an average of 4 rpg being scored. Now we know the Sox can hit, but most of their damage is done at home (5.31 rpg), while on the road they average just 4.2 rpg and vs righties away from home they hit .245 and scored 3.95 rp/ 9 off of them. The Sox will send out Chris Sale in this one and he has been dynamite for them, posting a 2.60 ERA overall and a 3.41 ERA on the road, while he also has a 2.81 ERA at night. Chris has faced the Royals 3 times in his career (all this year) and he has a 2.57 ERA in those starts, with all 3 starts putting up 6 runs or less. Now the Royals have had all sorts of problems with lefties this year and while they do hit .269 off of them at home, they only score 3.4 rp/ 9 off of them in this park. Just not a good hitting team with RISP. Case in point, in Sale's lone start here vs the Royals this year, he did give up 10 hits in 8 innings, but just 1 ER. Interesting stat here is the fact the Royals are last in the league in grounding into DP's at home (1.12 pg). Chris may give up a few hits, but the Royals won't capitalize, while Mendoza will come up with another solid outing as this game struggles to hit 6 runs. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since May 2011 the UNDER is 9-0-1 if the Royals are a home dog and hey lost the last time they faced this pitcher. An average of 6 rpg have been scored in this situation. 

3 UNIT PLAYS

NY YANKS -139 over Boston: Google News Play With the Orioles and Rays being as hot as they are I do not expect the Yanks to take this series so lightly. Phil Hughes has struggled in his last 2 starts, but both were on the road and he has pitched very well at home this year. Phil had a rough outing back in mid June at home vs the Braves, but since then he has gone 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last 5 starts, while overall he is 8-3 with 3.74 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP at home. Also, in his last 3 starts here vs the Yanks he is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA. The Sox on offense haven't done very well vs righties away home, hitting just .251 and scoring 4.2 rp/9 off of them. Franklin Morales has pitched well for Boston and he has allowed 3 ER's or less in 6 of his 7 starts this year, but his worse start of the year was vs the Yanks, in a game in which he allowed 6 ER's in just 3.2 innings of work. The Yanks offense averages 4.97 rpg at home, but vs leftioes they pit up 5.2 rp/9 innings. The Sox showed some heart in winning last night, but I feel that NY will play with plenty of heart in this series. Hughes pitches well at home and their offense should get to Morales like in the earlier game, give NY a solid win in game one here. 

Minnesota/ Seattle Over 7.5: (Added) The Mariners do have problems scoring at home and their home games do average just 6.3 rpg, but I still feel these teams can get to 8 runs in this one. The Mariners do score just 3.07 rpg at home, but fear not because the Twins allow 5.14 rpg on the road and Blackburn has been awful of late and on the road this year. Nick comes in with a 7.94 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP away from home and his road starts have averaged 9.3 rpg. He also has a 6.79 ERA at night, despite a winning record (4-3) and those starts have averaged 10.36 rpg). Nick has allowed 4 ER's or more in 8 of his last 10 and once he is out of there we could also get some runs off of a Minnesota pen that has struggled at times this year. Hisashi Iwakuma has pitched very well for Seattle, especially, at home where he has a 2.97 ERA, but still overall his ERA is 4.16 and 3.55 at night, so he can give up some runs and Minnesota can score some. The Twins average 4.14 rpg on the road, but 4.56 rpg in Nicks road starts and 5.27 rpg in his night starts. In their last 10 games overall Minnesota has averaged 5.2 rpg, including 5.66 rp/ 9 off of righties over that stretch. I really see both teams hitting at least 4 runs in this one as the game flirts with 10 runs.  

Philadelphia/ Milwaukee Over 8: (Added) It's a good thing we have a couple of bad pens for this one. Theses teams have met 4 times this year and the winner has scored 7 runs in each game. Just one more for a push then. Wish it was that easy. Still at least 11 runs have been scored in each of the 4 games and I see more of the same in this one. Vance Worley has pitched well on the road for the Phils this year, with a 2.59 ERA, but his pen has been shaky behind him as the Phils have allowed 4.89 rpg in his road starts. Vance has averaged 6.1 innings per game on the road and he has allowed 23 total runs and the pen has come in and allowed 21 runs after he has left. That should mean some late runs from Milwaukee in this one. Milwaukee scores very well in the own park as they have averaged 5.42 rpg game here and 4.96 rpg in Yovanni's home starts. The Phils score 4.3 rpg on the road, compared to 3.9 at home and they have scored 25 runs vs Milwaukee pitching this year. Now Yovanni does have a good ERA vs the Phils (1.55 in 3 starts vs them), but he has a similar problem that Vance has and that's a weak pen behind him. Yovani has gone 6.30 innings per home start and has allowed 33 total runs, while the pen has come in behind him and given up 25 runs. Let's just hope that both starters don't go the distance here. LOL. I don't think they well as both teams are playing loose offensively, knowing that they are out of the playoff picture. Look for about 10 runs in this one.  (PUSH)

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Chicago -152 over KANSAS CITY 

Texas/ Toronto Under 9   Google News Play

San Francisco -155 over SAN DIEGO 

1 UNIT PLAYS

WASHINGTON -158 over NY Mets

SEATTLE -1.5 (+170) over Minnesota