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Bruno's Bitchin' Bases (A7) FINAL

Thread Starter Bruno's Bitchin' Bases (A7) FINAL
Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
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Top 25 Contributor

Big rebound in order, folks. Get 'em, Pregamers!

Seattle Mariners (+115) LOSS - Britton with one quality start in four attempts (against the Tribe and we know how they are doing). Not really fussy about the M's vs LHP, but Britton has allowed LHB to hit at a .375 clip. Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs a left-handed starter. Mariners are 4-0 in Beavan's last 4 starts. Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs a right-handed starter. Orioles are 0-4 in Britton's last 4 starts as a favorite.

Minnesota Twins Over 4½ (-110) WIN - Indians have not allowed fewer than 5 runs during their ten game losing streak. Expect more of the same the way the Twins have been hitting lately. The gameline total WIN is likely in danger as Deduno seems to walk an awful lot of LHB, which he WILL see tonight.

Minnesota Twins (+108) - I am going to pass on the side here. Still think the Twins score 5, but something is not right with this one. Something fishy here, but if you like the Twins.....get 'em early. Tribe losers of 10 straight. Deduno pitching very well and the Twinks hit for him. Only once during their 10 losses has it been a 1 run game. Kluber's last start they lost 7-6 to KC. Alternate RL worth a look at -1½ (+165).

New York Yankees Over 4½ (-135) WIN - Yanks exactly the type of team that won't allow Porcello to wriggle off the hook. Over is 4-1 in Yankees' last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Porcello's last 5 starts overall. (Keep in mind that I haven't researched the breakdown on the runs in these)

New York Yankees (-105) LOSS - Seldomly get a line like this with the Yanks.....anywhere. Yankees are 8-3 in Hughes' last 11 starts. Tigers are 1-5 in Porcello's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. (Plenty of favorable Tiger trends) Hughes will need to neutralize Cabrera who has hurt him badly in  the past. Don't expect the Yanks to go deep, so it's gotta be smallball tonight. Tigers have not been able to string two consecutive wins together this season vs the Yanks.

Pittsburgh Pirates (-122) LOSS - Hard to go against Karsten's 0.43 home ERA. Buc's 34-16 home record speaks volumes to me. Under 8 (-130) is quite juicy, but appears to be the play. Expecting a game much like last night's.

Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ (+175) LOSS ½ unit

Texas Rangers (+105) - Passing on this one, as I can't wrap my head around Lester being favored. That and the Rangers' recent road dog trend. Expect Dempster to bounce back off a rough start. He does pitch better on the road. Lester will probably be Lester. I do have to question why the Sox are favored? One of the most astounding trends to me is this; Red Sox are 3-13 in Lester's last 16 starts vs a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 0-5 in Lester's last 5 starts as a favorite. Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a home favorite (Big fave vs the Twins). Rangers are 43-12 in their last 55 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rangers are 43-16 in their last 59 games following a loss. Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

Texas Rangers -1½ (+160) ½ unit

Cincinnati Reds/Milwaukee Brewers Under 7½ (-115) WIN - Obvious concern is the Brewers' 'pen. Both pitchers should go deep. Under is 9-1-1 in Reds' last 11 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 11-4 in Reds' last 15 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-1 in Fiers' last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Fiers' last 5 starts overall.

Kansas City Royals Under 4 (-140) LOSS - Peavy RHB .190/.198 BAA Home).....'nuff said. Under is 4-1 in Royals' last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 8-2 in Peavy's last 10 starts overall.

Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox Under 9 (-105) WIN - Chen pitched great at US Cellular last season going 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA. Although I don't expect that type of performance, I expect he'll keep the Royals in it.

Miami Marlins (+143) WIN - In a game that will likely come down to the bullpen, I'll go with the Fish. Really miss Giancarlo's bat against lefties, though. Ruggiano absolutely terrorizes LHP. Current Mets have really roughed up LeBlanc. Not sure how deep he goes, but you gotta like his 1.00 WHIP. This game may wind up on the sh**pile. On hold for now.  The Over would normally be the play, but at 8 I'll pass. Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs a left-handed starter. Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs a left-handed starter.

Miami Marlins/New York Mets Over 8  (+100) LOSS - May be a trap, but I have to do it. Over is 7-2-1 in Marlins' last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 19-7-1 in Mets last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Atlanta Braves (+127) LOSS - Not sure if the Bravos make the "end" card, however the Phils have to be faded based solely on their inability to reach base against LHP. The only reliable player (Ruiz) is out. This game rests squarely on Hamels' shoulders. Is he up to it? Gonna have to think Atlanta IS the play here. Braves have won 7 in a row vs Philly. I think they make it 8. In what I project as a low-scoring affair, edge to the Braves.

Howling Dog;

Colorado Rockies (+160) WIN - Harang's meltdown won't be cured by extra rest.

 

 

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
Jeff Scott Sports
Joined: 03/08/2008
Posts: 27840
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

Get it back tonight Bruno. BOL to you as always.

Having some problems with my the amount of characters in my forum signature, so I will post my records in my threads for the sports they pertain to.
 

I am a Pregame.com  Director of the Boards!

Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

Thanks, Jeff. Get after 'em!

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
scotti
Joined: 12/16/2006
Posts: 1589
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Top 500 Contributor

I don't think I've played an Over in a Marlins game this year,I will take a look see

scotti

Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
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Top 25 Contributor

Good luck, Scotti. No other way to go on that one, IMO.

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
No Limit
Joined: 10/19/2009
Posts: 40850
Rank NA
Top 10 Contributor

BOL bruno.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FOR ADDITIONAL PLAYS AND OTHER INFO, FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER.

http://twitter.com/#!/no_limit_sports

 

ALL PREGAME POSTED RECORDS BASED ON A 1-2-3 UNIT SCALE.

 

2011 MLB 3* 14-11 +7.89 units

2011 MLB 2* 25-19 +15 units

2011 MLB TOP PLAYS 39-30 +22.89 units

2011 NFL 3* 6-3 +8.1 units

2011 NFL TOP PLAYS 8-4 +9.9 units

2011/12 NFL PLAYOFFS 7-3-1 +6.7 units

2012 CBB A-10/CAA GAMES 32-18-1 +23.5 units

2012 CBB 65-50-2 +9.8 units

2012 MLB INTERLEAGUE 12-8 +8.86 units

2012 MLB 2* 42-32 +18.94 units

2012 MLB 72-64 +6.91 units

2012 CFB 3* 12-8-1 +9.6 units

2012 CFB 21-16-2 +8.1 units

2012 NFL 2* 9-5-1 +7 units

2012 ALL SPORTS 195-164-8 +13.61 units

NBA 54-49-4 +9.8 units (NOV +10.7)(DEC +7.7)(JAN +15.8)(FEB +8.6)(MAR +7.1)(APR +7.1)

NBA PLAYOFFS 6-5 +3.3 units

MLB 18-13 +13.75 units (APR +2)

MLB INTERLEAGUE 1-0 +3.45 units

 

PREGAME DOCUMENTED LONG TERM WINNING STREAK

7/6/12 THRU 2/16/13 (7 MONTHS PLUS) ALL SPORTS RUN 152-105 (59%)

 

2013 PREGAME FANTASY HOCKEY CHAMPION

 

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Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

Thanks, NL. Back at ya!

Time to sit back and watch some line movement (Or a porno. Haven't decided....LOL)

Twins looking like a trap.

Texas being "dogged" against Lester causing me some concern. Vegas doesn't generally make mistakes like this? He has conceded 18 ERs in his last 3 starts. Why is he favored? Red Sox are 1-10 in Lester's last 11 home starts vs a team with a winning record......is it just me?

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
ljyankee4
Joined: 01/03/2012
Posts: 8937
All Pro
Top 50 Contributor

Good luck on your card Bruno

ljyankee4's last 7 days record in MLB
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB2121050.00-185.00
Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
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Top 25 Contributor

Thanks, LJ. Bash the book tonight!

I scratched the Twins from my card. Rightly or wrongly, I am going to be more comfortable today. Still think they score 5, though. The Over 9½ (-115) will likely replace it. Probably a 9-8 Indians' win.

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
Bruno Bets
Joined: 11/08/2011
Posts: 18493
All Pro
Top 25 Contributor

Texas being "dogged" against Lester causing me some concern. Vegas doesn't generally make mistakes like this? He has conceded 18 ERs in his last 3 starts. Why is he favored? Red Sox are 1-10 in Lester's last 11 home starts vs a team with a winning record......is it just me?

I am giving some love to the Rockies at (+160) as today's Howling Dog....

Bruno Bets's last 7 days record in MLB ,NBA ,NHL
SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
MLB5559248.25-204.00
NBA46040.00-259.00
NHL47236.36-362.00
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