MLB Saturday... Card Is Final!!!

A good night last night as i went 4-3-1 overall and 2-1-1 in my Top Plays I hit my 4 Unit Totals play on the Under in the KC/ Texas game and all 3 Power Angles I had won as well. My Power Angle plays are now on a 11-1 run, while the Extra PA's I have are now on an Incredible 21-3 run (8-0 last 8). Im hoping to keep the train rolling today.

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

LA DODGERS -1.5 (-130) over Chicago: The Dodgers have been made the biggest favorite of the year tonight and I feel with good reason. The Cubs are the second worst road team in the league at 16-37 and they have gone just 9-28 vs the RL in those 37 losses, including just 1-12 in their last 13 road losses. This is a bad team away from home. Last night they had perhaps their best pitcher on the mound in Jeff S. and he struggled vs a struggling LA offense. Tonight the Cubs go with Chris Volstad and he has been downright horrible this year. Chris has just 9 starts on the year and he is 0-7 with a 7.94 ERA in those starts. On the road he is 0-3 with a 7.66 ERA and the Cubs have been outscored by 2 runs or more in each of his road starts. At night he has been even worse with an 0-2 mark and an 8.83 ERA and a 2.08 WHIP, while the Cubs have been outscored by 3 rpg in his night starts. Chris faced LA once this year and allowed 5 ER's in 5 innings in that start. The Dodgers are not a great hitting team, but they will get better with the Addition of Victorino and Ramirez. Hanley has never faced Chris, but Victorino is 9 for 32 with 2 HR's off of him. as a team the Dodgers are hitting .265 with 3 HR's off of Chris and even Clayton has gone 1-2 off of him in his career. The Cubs average just 3.4 rpg on the road and they hit just .209 and score 2.8 rpg off of lefties away from home. Clayton is 5-3 at home with a 2.36 ERA and he is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in 3 career starts vs the Cubs. My hope is that LA doesn't rest starters here, but I don't think they will. This team needs some confidence and a blowout win would aid in that great for them. LA by at least 4 runs in this one. 

3 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY (11-1 Last 12)

TAMPA BAY -135 over Baltimore: The Rays are a hot team again. After taking 2 of three at the Angles and then 2 of three at a very hot Oakland team, they came home last night and beat a struggling Orioles team 2-0. The Orioles have had problems scoring runs in this series of late as they have averaged just 2.29 rpg in the last 7 played, while being held to less than 2 runs in 4 of those games. Their task won't get much easier tonight vs Jeremy Hellickson and this Rays staff. The Rays as a team have allowed just 5 total runs in their last 6 games. In those 6 games they have thrown 4 shutouts including 2 in a row at the Angels, and we have all seen what that offense has been capable of, of late. Jeremy was part of one of those LA shutouts as he allowed just 2 hits in 6 innings vs the powerful Halos in his last start. He is 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA and an 0.60 WHIP in his last 3 starts, plus he is 3-1 in his team starts with an 0.88 ERA in his 4 career starts here vs the O's and he hasn't allowed more than 1 ER in any of those starts. While the O's have had problems scoring in this series the Rays really haven't as they have scored 4.6 rpg vs O's pitching on the year. The Rays as a team had such good pitch earlier in the year, but it's starting to break down as they have allowed a whopping 5.9 rpg in their last 10 games. Wei-Yin Chen has been solid of late with a 2-1 mark and a 2.79 ERA, but he is just 4-3 with a 4.27 ERA on the road and in 2 starts vs the Rays this year he is 0-2 with a 5.84 ERA. I expect Tampa to keep on winning vs an O's team that just can't score off of them. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2008 the Rays are 24-5 at home off a win in which they scored 3 runs or less and did not hit 3 HR's in the game. 

CHICAGO -121 over LA Angels: Google News Play How much do the Angels really have left in the tank for this one. They have to be demoralized after letting their last 3 games get away from them, which has dropped them to third in the Division behind Oakland. I feel the series vs the Rangers really took it's toll on this team, especially on their staff, which now has an 8.46 ERA in their last 5 games. Now you head to play a very confident Chicago team, with your worst pitcher on the mound. Good luck. Ervin Santana had a good showing in his last outing, but the fact is that he is still a bad pitcher with a 3-4 mark and a 6.83 ERA on the road. Gavin Floyd has had his struggles this year, but is pitching very well right. He is 4-2 with a very nice 1.62 ERA in his last 6 starts. Those two losses over that stretch were not really his fault as the Sox gave him just 2 total runs in the two games and I don't fee run support will be a problem here vs Santana. The Sox are confident right now and the Angels are not. Go with the Sox in this one.

San Francisco -149 over COLORADO:  Wow there might actually be a pen in the league that's worst than the Mets. The Rockies come in with a bullpen ERA of 4.93 at home on the year, including a pen ERA of 9.62 in their last 5 at home, while in this last 10 games overall they have a pen ERA of 6.70. Now Tonight's starter Jeff Francis hasn't gone more than 6 innings all year and in just 2 of his 6 starts he pitched 6 innings, so we should see some bull pen action from the Rockies in this one. Jeff Francis is 1-2 and has a 6.17 ERA at Coors this year. Last night the Giants offense put up 16 runs and they do score more on the road (4.90 rpg) than at home (3.27 rpg) and are laying with offensive confidence right now. Something that is always good in this park. Madison Bumgarner gets the call for the Giants tonight and he has really thrived in this series, allowed no more than 1 ER in each of has last 6 starts vs the Rockies, with the Giants winning 5 of those 6 games. Colorado has struggled some offensively  of late as they have averaged right around 4 rpg in their last 14 home games, compared to averaging 5.75 rpg at home for the year. The Giants are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings, while Colorado is just 3-14 in their last 7 games on Saturday and 6-20 in their last 26 home games. Giants win here. 

NY Mets/ San Diego Over 7:  Not of scoring in last night's game, but their was also a better pitching matchup on the mound. I expect tonight's game to be a bit different. Last night the Mets were held to just 1 run, but they did have 9 hits in the game and have hit (.263) and scored (4.95 rpg) very well on the road this year. The Mets have also done well vs Edinson as he  is 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA in 4 career starts vs him. Edinson does have a 2.84 ERA at home, but a 3.73 ERA at night, so he can be scored on some. The Padres came into this series hot offensively, but all that damage was done on the road. They didn't do much vs Dickey last night as they got just 4 hits off of him, but they did score 3 runs in the game off of hime and should have an easier time tonight vs Jeremy Hefner, who has a 5.93 ERA in his 5 career starts this year. One of those starts were vs the Padres and he allowed 6 ER's in just 3.2 innings in that game. Last night Dickey went 7 innings, but we should see a shorter stint from Hefner in this one and that will then put the ball in the hand of a NY pen that has a 5.73 ERA on the road. San Diego has a 2.84 ERA out of their pen at home, but I see the Mets putting up at least 3 runs before their pen comes into play, while San Diego shold be good for AT LEAST that much off of Heffner. I really don't see how this game doesn't at least 8 runs. 

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Yanks/ Seattle Under 8:  King Felix has been awesome of late, while Kuroda hasn't allowed an ER in 4 day starts this year. 

OAKLAND -168 over Toronto

1 UNIT PLAYS

ST LOUIS -1.5 (-105) over Milwaukee 
 

Pittsburgh/ Cincinnati Under 9 (PUSH)

2 EXTRA POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (21-3 RUN)  (30-11  (+16.45 UNITS)

Since 2006 the Cardinals are 21-3 as a home favorite of 140 or more if they are off a walk-off loss in their starters last start. This play has gone 17-7 vs the RL, including 10-3 in the last 13. This play is 3-0 this year and thay have outscored all 3 opponents by 3 runs. Play on St Louis -1.5 (-105) over Milwaukee

Since 2004 Oakland is 17-4 as a home favorite if their starter allowed 5 or fewer runs in his last start and they won by 1 run. Interesting to note is that they have gone 17-4 vs the RL in this spot as well, outscoring their opponents by 4 rpg. I won't play with the RL here so, Play on Oakland -157 over Toronto