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Nover's View: Giants-Royals Free Wednesday Play

Thread Starter Nover's View: Giants-Royals Free Wednesday Play
Stephen Nover
Joined: 08/16/2007
Posts: 3260
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Wednesday, April 19

Giants at Royals Under 8

If the oddsmaker tricked me by making this total 8 instead of 7 1/2 than I congratulate him because he got my money. Because I certainly can't see more than seven runs being scored here even though there will be about a 10-15 mph wind blowing out to left.

The Royals achieved the near impossible on Tuesday: They made washed-up Matt Cain look good. The Giants won that game with Cain, 2-1, in 11 innings. Now the Royals draw Madison Bumgarner.

Bumgarner could be the second-best lefty in baseball behind only Clayton Kershaw depending on how you feel about Chris Sale. Bumgarner has 24 strikeouts in 21 innings this season. Opponents are batting .222 against him. Kansas City is last in the majors in runs scored and third-from-the-bottom in batting average. The Royals haven't scored more than three runs in six of their last seven games.

The Giants have managed just five runs in their last three games. They've been held to three runs or less in five of their past seven games.

Royals starter Jason Vargas hadn't been healthy in two years. Now he's finally 100 percent again and has looked sharp in two starts giving up just one run in 13 2/3 innings with 14 strikeouts. He's backed by one of the best defensive teams in baseball. Perhaps it's somewhat of a coincidence, but the under has cashed in Vargas' last nine starts.

The under has also cashed in eight of the last nine games John Tumpane has been behind the plate. He's slated to be the home plate umpire today.

In addition to this selection, I have Double Star plays going today in the NBA, baseball and NHL. I am 16-6-1 on my last 23 NBA premium/free plays, 7-2 on my last nine baseball sides plays and have won my last four hockey plays. You can find all of my plays and packages here: http://pregame.com/pregamepros/pro-bettor/bettor.aspx?id=7746#capper.

As always, let us not suffer any bad beats! 

Stephen Nover: My Best Bets | Free Picks |My Blogs
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ppeterson0722
Joined: 12/12/2014
Posts: 462
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I thought it was Christmas in April when I saw this total initially..until I saw the weather forecast.  Still a lot of factors pointing to the under as you mentioned.  I may end up following.  BOL!

Stephen Nover
Joined: 08/16/2007
Posts: 3260
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Thanks PP. The wind is supposed to get calmer as the game progresses.

Stephen Nover: My Best Bets | Free Picks |My Blogs
A genuine sports betting journalist
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!

ppeterson0722
Joined: 12/12/2014
Posts: 462
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I wonder if the Giants will employ a DH tonight or just keep MadBum in the lineup?  I'm not sure they have a better option.

Corey Wood
Joined: 10/05/2013
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Buster will DH

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CBB2814366.671255.00
CFB73070.00355.00
MLB3773351052.952451.00
NBA128139447.94-2471.00
NFL4442351.16-233.00
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