The Marlins jumped out to a 3-0 lead at Detroit, but they also left a load of potential runs off the board early. That often comes back to haunt a team, and it did so here as the Tigers blew up Adam Conley, scoring all seven of their runs in one inning. So even on a good night, I managed to find a way to put one of the bad results here as the free play. I’m going with an intriguing first-time starter for the Wednesday comp.
DODGERS (Stewart) @ BREWERS (Guerra)
Take: DODGERS -115
Brock Stewart has been called up to fill the #5 slot for the Dodgers. His stock has skyrocketed this season with some spectacular minor league numbers. Stewart’s last two AAA starts were beyond dominating, and he could be a live newcomer for LA.
Stewart now throws mid-90’s and has been touching 96, plus he has two sliders and an improving change. Scouts have raved about his poise. So I don’t think he’ll be overwhelmed by the surroundings, and the fact he’s opening on the road is probably a plus as far as that goes.
Junior Guerra has been a very pleasant surprise for the Brewers, although I still see him as strictly a mid-rotation type. There’s no denying Guerra has exceeded expectations since getting promoted, and he has been in pretty solid form. But the overall numbers are those of a #3-4 starting pitcher, so I’m not intimidated by the prospect of trying to beat him this evening.
The Dodgers have now won 10 of their last 14, so the team is in good form. The Brewers have been pesky and have a winning record at home, so this is by no means a snap. But I like the idea of backing the unseen rookie who has been throwing it extremely well. Therefore I’m willing to spot a short price on the road with the Dodgers tonight.
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I have 2 MLB Best Bets for Wednesday's action.