Noah Syndergaard on the bump with a 4-0 lead is going to win way more often then not. But that wasn’t the case on Monday evening, as Thor just didn’t have his good stuff and the Nationals ended up smashing the Mets with 11 unanswered runs. I’m looking at one the interleague battle for the Tuesday free play.
MARLINS (Conley) at TIGERS (Pelfrey)
Take: MARLINS -101
Miami lefty Adam Conley with a pretty good edge on the mound against Detroit righty Mike Pelfrey is where this starts. Conley sweeps the categories I am focusing on in the head to head pitching matchups. This’s not to suggest Conley is anything more than a middle of the rotation type at this point, but that’s substantially better than the slot Pelfrey fits.
The Marlins are playing phenomenal defense. They’re now at 26 straight games without an error. That’s the most consecutive errorless games for any team since 1913, which is truly incredible. Life gets a whole lot easier for everyone involved when extra outs and scoring opportunities aren’t being handed out.
My one concern is whether Marcell Ozuna is ready to play tonight, as he’s obviously a very important piece of the Miami offense. But even without him, I think I have to go with the Miami side here. The Tigers are off a wrong-way sweep at home to the Indians, while the Marlins have to be feeling great after taking three of four from the Cubs. So between the pitching comparatives and the team form, I can justify Miami here in a virtual pick ’em game.
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I have FOUR MLB Releases up for Tuesday - two games split between the money and run lines.
Good luck today!