2016 MLB Record:
21-18 for +2.92 Units
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#1: St Louis Cardinals -116
Rubby De La Rosa had a strong outing in his first start of the year, but he’s still a mediocre pitcher (4.6 ERA and FIP for his career), and I’ll need more than just one outing before I start taking notice. Now he’s facing the #1 ranked offense in the league and this will be a true test. Cardinals are excellent offensively against the ‘slider’, De La Rosa’s best offering, and I think we’ll see him give up some hits here. Throw in his 1.3 HR/9 rate and inability to pitch well to lefties (STL should have at least 3 in the lineup tonight), and I expect the Cards to have a lot of success against him here. My model has this one at STL -140 so I’ll grab the value tonight.
Good Luck