And here is Friday's MLB rundown. We're firing a Triple Dime GOM - finally found a name for it - and we've already got Saturday NFL loaded. And I think the Early Bird NFL/CFB subs are coming down, or the price is going up (whatever sounds better) this week.
We told long-term clients to fire this yesterday if it was 8 or less - still good at 8, only a push:
902 NYM / 901 PITOVER 7.5 Greek
Pirates-Mets: Well, not likely many would fade the Mets even with Colon pitching at this point - and people will see -120 and probably Happ all over it. Not sure either of these two can hold the other team in check - and it might matter if Marte is back - or not - because he hasn't hit Colon at all. The Mets are hitting everyone, and interesting that they're on 8-16 to the over against LHP's. Or at least I found it interesting. We'll see what happens with the Pirates and their bullpen in St. Louis, and then late-night travel for them.
Arizona-Atlanta: We don't typically like the Braves against left handed pitching and don't typically like the D-Backs against right handed pitching, but someone will win this game. Teheran is much, much better at home. Ray's been giving up the long ball lately but is much better on the road, so in this big park we might not see many runs.
Phillies-Brewers: Milwaukee gets their ass handed to them in Chicago on Thursday afternoon while the Phillies rest after being in San Diego and Arizona. They (the Phillies) gave up 15 or more hits in all three games to the D-Backs (which may make Arizona over priced in Atlanta) and have cooled off at the plate. They've been a great over team - either killing someone or getting killed, and that's probably what'll happen here. They're 3-0 in Nola's games on the road - but not because Nola pitched well, they just scored a sh*tload. I certainly cannot get behind Peralta and the Brewers with their schedule - a even less of a chance at -160.
Fish-Cardinals: I guess you could make the argument that the Cardinals might be weary after the series against the Pirates, perhaps. After all, Miami did have a day off. But, Ozuna is out and Yelich is questionable, so not likely - and Koehler on the road is not as good as Koehler at home.
Padres-D-Backs: If there ever was a game this early in August that BOTH teams fell so far short of expectations and probably didn't want to play, this could be it. I'd simply have to take the Padres and Ross against a left handed pitcher (that's the arm Flande throws with) since that's been their best chance this season. For as bad as the Padres pen has been, it's typically better than the Rockies.
Nats-Giants: Clearly a game that hinges in what happens between these two Thursday. With Vogelsong pitching it's possible that the Giants pen might be needed a fair bit, and with Matt Cain's ability to walk the bases loaded on a moments' notice - it'd be hard for me to back San Francisco even as a nice home dog and perhaps not even on the RL.
Seattl-Boston: Immediately there is zero chance of taking Joe Kelly. Yes, he can show flashes of brilliance, but Hanley is questionable, Bostons' bullpen has been worse than horrible, they're under .500 at Fenway, and wore against LHP's. Cruz is questionable, and Montgomery doesn't usually pitch deep and Seattle's bullpen is pushing the Red Sox pen for futility. o, all signs point to runs here (meaning 3-2 Boston).
Rays-Rangers: Very interesting game, because I do like Karns a fair bit and had every intention of betting on Tampa Bay. Especially given the Rangers' road game Thursday - but the Rangers still (finally) appear to want to win. I hate the spot for Texas - but if it were all just about spots we'd never lose. I suppose the wild card is Perez. I wonder if we get the one that shut down the Giants or the "other" one - the line will probably dictate that, again.
Cleveland-Minnesota: I'll wait and see how the Indians, who have started hitting, fare against the Yankees on Thursday. The Twins blew an early 4-0 lead at home (yes, we bet on Minnesota) so they can't be an overly positive team right now. I just have a tough time laying -160 or whatever it is, on the road, with a team like the Indians who can go old at the plate in a moments notice. Hughes has been getting torched lately - so this may well be an Indians RL or something. I can't take the Twins against RHP anymore.
Angels-Royals: Much of this is dependent on Thursday's game - my instincts tell me over - Duffy's been excellent save his implosion at Toronto, and Weaver in his second game back against a team that's killed right handed pitching. If we can get even a mediocre Duffy, I am inclined to take Kansas City here unless something drastic happens in the Thursday game.
Houston-Detroit: I am not paying -230 for Kuechel against a team that COULD hit him. He's been somewhat more vulnerable of late and the Astros have lost 7 of 9 - perhaps pressure catching up with youth there. I don't even have to look at the Tigers, their bullpen, or Simon - to think that this could well be the public disaster of the day. It won't be mine.