All credit to Dennistyler for discovering this trend a little while ago.
In Zack Greinke's starts since 2011, his teams are 28-1 as a favorite of more than -140 coming off of a loss. This yields an ROI of +49.4%. For the runline, his teams are 20-9 in this spot for a similar ROI of 48.6%.
So, Better team + Motivated team + Zack Grienke = W
Doesn't apply today, but slim chance it hits -140 later....