Play on Game #914 LA Dodgers w/ Kershaw (10:10 PM EST)
I want to lay this big price with confidence tonight as Kershaw takes the rubber. Kershaw is 13-4 his L17 home starts in July as a home favorite. Of these 17 starts, he has allowed 3 runs or fewer in his last 11. I will also note that Kershaw is 3-0 in his L3 home starts vs. the NL East and is 22-4 in his L26 starts vs. the NL East ( 7-0 L 7 vs. the Mets)That's a 85% winning percentage. I think the probability of winning goes up even more given the fact that the Mets offense is struggling and the Dodgers are well rested after getting a day off yesterday and the fact that the Dodgers are 13-3 the L16 meetings vs. the Mets.
The best part is he is facing a Mets team that is really struggling from the plate. They are averaging under 2 runs a game over their L7 games and hitting below .200 and the majority of the games were against sub-par pitcher. That's why I'm not worried about laying the hefty price in this game.
The Mets will have Syndergaard on the mound and the Mets are 0-4 in his 4 road starts this season. His only start on the West coast, he got shelled for 10 hits and 7 runs vs. the Padres.
Kershaw has now lost 3 consecutive games for the first time in his career and I can't see it being 4 after this game. He has 28K/ 3 BB in these 3 starts so it's not like he is pitching bad. LAY IT with confidence!