Going mostly Under to win 10.5 units with the following 5 plays in this one, 4 of them on the UNDER:
Game - Sea at TB, starts 4:10 Pacific
Top pick - scoring prop NO RUNS in first inning (-140 ) to win 2.5 units (risk 3.5 units to win 2.5)
Other picks
Game Under 7 (-125) to win 2 units
F5 Under 3.5 runs (-105) for 2.5 units
Tampa team total Under 3.5 runs (-115) for 1.5 units
Seattle F5 RL +1/2 run (-115) to win 2 units
Brief support for picks
When a game's two starters have combined for a 1-13 Under record on the season, it's pretty hard not to take the Under. And that's the case here, with Seattle's Elias 0-5 Under (5.8 total rpg) and Tampa's Odorizzi 1-8 Under (4.45 total rpg). Nor does it hurt that Odorizzi has received the WORST RUN SUPPORT of any MLB starter TY that I am aware of - a pathetic 1.9 rpg in his 9 starts, including an even more anemic 1.25 rpg in his four home starts. That anemic run "support" for Odorizzi not only provides support for the Under picks, but also for our F5 RL pick on Seattle at +1/2 run.
Similarly, Odorizzi is 0-5 Under vs the F5 inning line in his four home starts TY, plus his 2-0 shut of Ms LY in Seattle, his only start against them. And those five starts averaged just 0.75 total runs in F5 innings, 0.25 runs of which were given up by Odorizzi.
And looking at those same five key Odorizzi starts, plus Elias' 3 road starts TY plus his win LY in Tampa, his only career start vs Rays, these two have given up a run in the first inning just once in those nine combined starts, making the first inning NO RUNS scoring prop 8-1 in those nine combined starts.
BOL if you play these picks.
Great Owl