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Fezzik's Focus: I'm laying -200 today in MLB (Mon 8/11/14)

Fezzik's Focus: I'm laying -200 today in MLB (Mon 8/11/14)
Lozo1016
Joined: 01/16/2013
Posts: 710
Pro Draft Prospect
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Am I the only one who loves Toronto in this spot? Seattle and Toronto is pretty much even, Toronto knows how to get to King Felix, Seattle tends to do poorly as a big favorite and Toronto is around +200. I could be dead wrong here tho. BOL everyone.

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5683
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

Fezzik

I know I piss off the pregamers when I say this, but I HATE this silly PARLAY -200 to -200.  

While I understand the reluctance to not lay -200, U ARE STILL LAYING IT.   All it does is INCREASE your bet if your other leg wins, and decrease it to zero if your other leg loses it.

Without going nuts talking Sharp(e) ? Ratios, optimal betting, getting the right number, etc, it's FINE to lay -200, -300, -700.  MANY pros lay bets like this all the time (ok typically not -200s in MLB).  BUT.............NO REASON to EVERY parlay it (unless you find a correlation).

Hopefully people will actually read this post and learn something.

You easily beat the closer which is pretty rare laying $2.  GL

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

spartanman
Joined: 08/05/2014
Posts: 52
Practice Squad
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Mr. Fezzik, maybe now people who think one cannot win, by laying -200 or more, on rare occasions, will now have a change of heart. Thank you.

Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 3191
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

I KNEW I would get +225 ish and town, AND INTENTIONALLY drove into the Strip to keep from donking off my profit by playing the 25 cent scalp..........

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5683
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Top 150 Contributor

Fezzik

I KNEW I would get +225 ish and town, AND INTENTIONALLY drove into the Strip to keep from donking off my profit by playing the 25 cent scalp..........

Just curious, if you absolutely knew it was getting to +225 why didn't you over bet the -200 with the intention of buying off the liability you didn't want at the scalp price later?

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

Rl burnside
Joined: 08/15/2012
Posts: 145
College Recruit
Not Ranked

Fezzik

I know I piss off the pregamers when I say this, but I HATE this silly PARLAY -200 to -200.  

While I understand the reluctance to not lay -200, U ARE STILL LAYING IT.   All it does is INCREASE your bet if your other leg wins, and decrease it to zero if your other leg loses it.

Without going nuts talking Sharp(e) ? Ratios, optimal betting, getting the right number, etc, it's FINE to lay -200, -300, -700.  MANY pros lay bets like this all the time (ok typically not -200s in MLB).  BUT.............NO REASON to EVERY parlay it (unless you find a correlation).

Im not down with laying -200, but I will go -1 betting run -1.5 and money line Idea

they told me growin up to dial 911 if you ever have any trouble but I always dialed up 4 fifty 7

Fezzik
Joined: 12/11/2012
Posts: 3191
All Pro
Top 200 Contributor

Because there Simply aren't enough hours in the day.........

Let's say I bet an Xtra  $10,000 to make $5,000 on Sea

Then come over the top betting back $4,600 to make $10,350 +225.

So I make $400ish on the scalp.  It's good money BUT

BUT..........I'm not a bases capper.........no guarantee I'm right the markets are going that high

To do it right, I often have to chase +220/+225 Runline at shops with nickel/dime limits..........like Station/Coast/etc.   *****************USUALLY............in this case the SHARP books went to +220.

I HAVE to bet it at post 6-7:10,  tieing up 2 hours to f**** around with a one game scalp to make $300-$400.

Better use of my time, unless I'm CERTAIN it's going to get this high in widely available spots......

NOT to mention, what do I do if I blink and someone BOMBS in Toronto for some reason?

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5683
All Pro
Top 150 Contributor

All valid points, you had just said you knew it was going to +220 so that's why I asked

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

MichiganMike
Joined: 07/20/2014
Posts: 64
Prep School
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This was an easy one thank you

Roxxyfish
Joined: 01/03/2014
Posts: 1522
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very very nice hit Steve , well done mate

www.WNBAPICKS.com

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