We just couldn’t have a better card last night as we SWEPT the board by going 6-0 ATS for our best day of the season. Still it was a weird night because we won all our 5 Single Dime Plays quite easily (including CWS ML @ +154 / 2.54 odds), but we had to “sweat” quite a bit to win our Top Play Triple Dime Parlay Play w/ NYY & OAK ML’s… that’s the MLB…
This great day was just a valid confirmation of our uprising run since the All Star break. Now that the Soccer World Cup is gone, I'll be focused in the MLB in the next two months. I have now more time (and data) to prepare games and obviously, this is why I had such low volume of plays in the first half of the season.
We are 30-14 ATS in the second half of season for a nice +17.7 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +42.70 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. Please note that the average odds of my MLB plays are @ +101 / 2.01, so we are not talking about laying huge odds in favorites teams, instead, we have been aggressive in our approach w/ nice success.
Note also that I’ll make some important changes in my service in the near future w/ soccer being a main part of my handicapping process. I'm working and adjusting all my plan of work and soon, I'll make an announcement w/ my detailed plans.
Special Deal:
My Early-bird football (NFL ONLY) package is now available. You’ll get every play through the Super Bowl for the lowest price. Don’t miss this chance to get the package at the best available price as I’m coming from a 57% hitting rate NFL season.
MLB First Update: 2 early FREE Premium Plays were released!
MLB - 953 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 954 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: W. Miley vs. A. Simon)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
Catching Wade Miley against this Reds offense @plus money is a valuable bet IMO, and I’m just pulling the trigger…
I’ve made a play w/ ARI in Miley’s last start that was lost (it wasn’t even close)!
“Wade Miley has been outstanding lately! His stats line in this month says it all: .194 BA / 2.20 FIP / 2.50 xFIP / 26.6% K% & 4.6% BB! Wow! Note that he has faced CHC, SF & ATL in his L3 starts and these 3 teams are pretty decent vs. LHP’s this season by being ranked #5, #12 & #7, and still, Miley did pretty well against them! PHI offense is ranked just #23 and they are prone to be K’ed quite a lot (ranked #20 in the season w/ 21.1% K%), so I expect Miley to be decent tonight.”
Bad days happen and I expect him to bounce back today against a CIN offense that is ranked #22 OPS vs. LHP’s, is batting .186 BA in L10 games vs. LHP’s and has a putrid mark of 25.7 K% - ranked #29 in the league!
On the other end, Alfredo Simon is primed to regress a bit in this season half, and this regression process has already started because he struggled in his L2 starts coming off the All Star break! His 2.86 ERA mark does not go well alongside w/ 4.06 SIERA / 4.33 FIP & 3.97 xFIP numbers!
I have Wade Miley way above Alfredo Simon in my Power Rankings, and w/ the way the Reds are struggling offensively lately, I’m taking the Diamondbacks in here as my Single Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ W. Miley) @ +107 / 2.07 on Betonline
MLB - 955 Washington Nationals @ 956 Miami Marlins
(Starting Pitchers: T. Roark vs. B. Hand)
***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***
I think that we are getting some value w/ WAS especially in the first 5IP’s of the game, as I expect Roark to “outpitch” Brad Hand. The Nationals lost the first 2 games of the series w/ both of them being decided late in the games, so there will be some sense of urgency from them today since the start.
T. Roark has been outstanding lately w/ 3 consecutive great starts in which he allowed 1ER in each game & a nice 17/2 K/BB ratio to show. MIA is ranked #29 in K% (23.3%) for the season and lately things haven’t change at all as MIA is ranked #25 w/ 23.8% in K% in the last 14 days. Roark has some nice K’s numbers w/ 7.07 K/9 in this month, so MIA is a good matchup for him.
On the other end, I’ve faded B. Hand in his last start (took the OVER) vs. HOU, but he performed quite well. Actually, his L2 starts were good vs. SF & HOU but these two teams are struggling offensively as of late. WAS is a top 10 offensive team vs. LHP’s this season by being ranked #8 w/ .744 OPS.
While Hand might had the “factor surprise” working for him in those two starts, this won’t happen in here as WAS has already faced him twice this season w/ good results w/ 5 & 3 runs scored!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 First 5 IP's Washington Nationals (-0.5) (w/ T. Roark) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline