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Dave's HR Derby Bets - Parlaying AS Props

Thread Starter Dave's HR Derby Bets - Parlaying AS Props
Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
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Yoenis Cespedes +475 

Here's the reasoning. We'd typically like to find a LHH, and there's probably SOME value in Morneau at +1250 as well. He played in Minnesota obviously, so he'll have fan support. But, he won the thing in in Yankee Stadium in 2008, so he does know what it's all about. Knowing what it's all about is also why I like Yoenis to repeat. He blew his load early last year, and he won't likely make that mistake again. So, we'll throw down on those two and see what happens. If either or both get into the second round, their may be some hedge opportunities, who knows. Since Vladimir Guerrero won it in SF in 2007, all LHH's won until last year, so, we've got to take Morneau, being the only one.

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I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

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Jeff Scott Sports
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Good stuff Dave. I was looking at Morneau as well, but found that during his time in Minnesota he actually hit more HRs on the road then at home. I went with Giancarlo though. BOL to you as always

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Brandon Watson
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I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

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Dave Essler
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Jeff Scott Sports

Good stuff Dave. I was looking at Morneau as well, but found that during his time in Minnesota he actually hit more HRs on the road then at home. I went with Giancarlo though. BOL to you as always

I had to take the lone LHH. Not real sure yet what the wind will be later, but right now it is blowing straight out to RF at 16 MPH. Of course that could change, but between the two at +1250 or more, you got to, IMO.

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Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 13912
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Brandon Watson

I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

Ahh, if only it were all based on thoughts. We'd never lose!

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

Dave's 30 Day All Access Package

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Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

Brandon Watson
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Dave Essler

Brandon Watson

I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

Ahh, if only it were all based on thoughts. We'd never lose!

Fair point. Although sometimes my thoughts are wrong!

Diagnosed with multiple sclerosis on October 27, 2013 — one day at a time

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! Pregame's 2010 "Who's The Man" Champion

"I think Brandon Watson is a computer program." Yahoo Sports National Radio Host Steve Czaban after reading a game preview I wrote on Georgetown/Florida State for the NIT. Obviously wasn't my best work.

$25 of picks FREE!
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Baseball 2014: 192-181, -5.70 units
NFL: 22-16, +8.75 units | CFB: 35-29-3, +4.8 units
Overall 2014: 514-468, +37.91 units | 2013: 338-291-3, +25.50 units

Heading into fourth year NFL (no preseason): 242-173 (58.8%), +69.16 units
Career at Pregame (All Sports): 2461-
1996 (55%), +239.72 units

Follow me on twitter!

"Beer bets" with Johnny Detroit: 1-1

mjkluger
Joined: 07/14/2014
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what are the limits being offered at 5dimes?

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 13912
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Dave Essler

Yoenis Cespedes +475 

Here's the reasoning. We'd typically like to find a LHH, and there's probably SOME value in Morneau at +1250 as well. He played in Minnesota obviously, so he'll have fan support. But, he won the thing in in Yankee Stadium in 2008, so he does know what it's all about. Knowing what it's all about is also why I like Yoenis to repeat. He blew his load early last year, and he won't likely make that mistake again. So, we'll throw down on those two and see what happens. If either or both get into the second round, their may be some hedge opportunities, who knows. Since Vladimir Guerrero won it in SF in 2007, all LHH's won until last year, so, we've got to take Morneau, being the only one.

Rain delay forces Dave to bed early. Nice to wake up to.

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

Dave's 30 Day All Access Package

Follow Dave on Twitter

Of any big win we have had, or winning streak, or even coming out of a losing streak, of this I am most proud:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

I still want to know if all these people on Twitter and Pick-Selling sites claim to have beaten up books for years, I would think there would be no places left to place wagers.

 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

pnadams23
Joined: 12/24/2011
Posts: 103
College Recruit
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Thanks Dave!

JR ODonnell
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congrats!!

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 thanks and let's get there !!!!!!!!! 

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