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Dave's HR Derby Bets - Parlaying AS Props

Thread Starter Dave's HR Derby Bets - Parlaying AS Props
Dave Essler
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Yoenis Cespedes +475 

Here's the reasoning. We'd typically like to find a LHH, and there's probably SOME value in Morneau at +1250 as well. He played in Minnesota obviously, so he'll have fan support. But, he won the thing in in Yankee Stadium in 2008, so he does know what it's all about. Knowing what it's all about is also why I like Yoenis to repeat. He blew his load early last year, and he won't likely make that mistake again. So, we'll throw down on those two and see what happens. If either or both get into the second round, their may be some hedge opportunities, who knows. Since Vladimir Guerrero won it in SF in 2007, all LHH's won until last year, so, we've got to take Morneau, being the only one.

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Jeff Scott Sports
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Good stuff Dave. I was looking at Morneau as well, but found that during his time in Minnesota he actually hit more HRs on the road then at home. I went with Giancarlo though. BOL to you as always

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Brandon Watson
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I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

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Dave Essler
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Jeff Scott Sports

Good stuff Dave. I was looking at Morneau as well, but found that during his time in Minnesota he actually hit more HRs on the road then at home. I went with Giancarlo though. BOL to you as always

I had to take the lone LHH. Not real sure yet what the wind will be later, but right now it is blowing straight out to RF at 16 MPH. Of course that could change, but between the two at +1250 or more, you got to, IMO.

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From Deadspin article:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 16195
All Pro
Top 50 Contributor

Brandon Watson

I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

Ahh, if only it were all based on thoughts. We'd never lose!

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From Deadspin article:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

Brandon Watson
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Dave Essler

Brandon Watson

I like Cespedes to make a big push again. But for me it's Joey Bats and his violent swings. I also like Frazier as a sleeper. Good thoughts Dave.

Ahh, if only it were all based on thoughts. We'd never lose!

Fair point. Although sometimes my thoughts are wrong!

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I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards! Pregame's 2010 "Who's The Man" Champion

"I think Brandon Watson is a computer program." Yahoo Sports National Radio Host Steve Czaban after reading a game preview I wrote on Georgetown/Florida State for the NIT. Obviously wasn't my best work.

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mjkluger
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what are the limits being offered at 5dimes?

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
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Dave Essler

Yoenis Cespedes +475 

Here's the reasoning. We'd typically like to find a LHH, and there's probably SOME value in Morneau at +1250 as well. He played in Minnesota obviously, so he'll have fan support. But, he won the thing in in Yankee Stadium in 2008, so he does know what it's all about. Knowing what it's all about is also why I like Yoenis to repeat. He blew his load early last year, and he won't likely make that mistake again. So, we'll throw down on those two and see what happens. If either or both get into the second round, their may be some hedge opportunities, who knows. Since Vladimir Guerrero won it in SF in 2007, all LHH's won until last year, so, we've got to take Morneau, being the only one.

Rain delay forces Dave to bed early. Nice to wake up to.

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From Deadspin article:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind.

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

pnadams23
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Thanks Dave!

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congrats!!

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