Got swamped again on the West Coasters. After doing well the night before when few else did, I believe that it may have been a simple aberration. Still have no idea why? For informational purposes only; Do The Work!
False Alarm **Philadelphia Phillies (-115) ~ The short line concerns me a bit, but it looks like the "perfect storm" for the home team? Facing a LHP (prone to the gopher) in a matinee start. I will also take a shot on the Phillies -1½ (+175) and although I cannot see how this one stays Under 8 (it is still the Padres) something feels wrong, so it'll be a pass on the total.....for now. Kendrick serviceable at home and the Phils owe him some runs. If you must play a total, sticking with the Phillies may be the best option? FWIW ~ I am NOW hoping this one is rained out. I may have jumped the gun....I am doing some "damage control" as we speak and praying for the rain to take care of the rest. Pads lining up 8 LHB....they have murdered Kendrick!
Philadelphia Phillies (-115) Mini ~ Due to impending rain, it may be the better way to go? Thanks, red.....
Atlanta Braves/Colorado Rockies Over 5½ (-105) Mini ~ We can almost be certain that Chacin will concede 3 or 4 through 5 IP....it's what he does and who he is. I do think that the Rockies (+107) take this as a small dog and therefore believe that they also get to Santana early. Something feels a bit suspicious with the game total at 10, so let's sit the bullpen and watch them get the job done for a change. Make it be known that the Bravos' .212 daylight BA is a big concern and we may have to count on the Rox to deliver more than their share? I'd love to see more LHB in the Colorado line-up, but I guess they don't have them? Although I cannot find a solitary reason that this one doesn't go Over, a line drop to 9½ tells me I am probably right? I still think 3's after 5 is quite doable, though.
For my money Hudson's numbers are real and Treinen's are pseudo. Having said that, the Giants line is prohibitively high against a team playing as well as the Nats. Treinen has not had a daylight appearance, so we cannot know what to expect. It'll be a pass, but I do expect the Giants to take the finale. He has not even been real good with RISP, so I cannot determine why his ERA has remained so low. It WILL end with a thud and it may very well be today. Not sure that 7 is safe, although most of the damage likely comes via the SFG bats. Personally, I expect the Giants' sunlight thunder will be swift and merciless today......sweet retribution. Going to pass on the excessively juicy ML (to protect against something unforeseen) and jump straight to the Giants -1½ (+155). Treinen has had some trouble with LHB (.340 BAA) and with five in the SF line-up, I think he struggles today.
Although JeffSam (yep, man-crush) has dominated RHB all season I am not sure there is a pitcher on the planet who can handle McCutchen at the moment? Volquez has actually been very effective, so the Under 7 (-105) is a look. We may actually go with the Under 3½ (-105) Mini and take the Cubs' 'pen out of the mix. I do think the Cubbies are getting a tad more love than they merit based on their offensive inefficiencies when JS takes the hill? Be careful with Rizzo, Edinson.
The Brewers are never high on my "to-do" list facing a good lefty, however I DO trust them more to get the "key" hit in what I expect will be a pitcher's duel. Under 7 (-110)
Personal bias aside, I think that anyone looking to get rich on the "Fade the Jays" band-wagon is in for a rude awakening (but, not today), as is Gausman if he thinks he can throw that heater by them. I expect an offensive explosion at Camden. Gausman's .350 BAA facing RHB may rise tonight. Having said that something feels very wrong here? It may very well be an 8-7 final, so I'll stick with the pricey Over 8½ (-125). Has the makings of one of those 4 inning jobs. Getting away from the intense public pressure of Toronto may be just what the doctor ordered, but I still think it is a "bad" spot. Many don't realize it, but the GTA (Greater Toronto Area) has far more people than most American cities and the young Jays may be more anxious to catch their breath. Today's geography lesson. I DO NOT like the Jays' line-up. Gibbon needs to man-up, own his mistake and re-insert Lind to the 4 hole between Joey and EE. I'd like to think I am wrong with the O's just 4½ back, but I don't think I am here? Be careful.......
Cleveland Indians (+143) ~ I generally don't have much faith in the Tribe facing a LHP (or on the road for that matter), but I think Lester is in a very tough spot here.
**Chicago White Sox (-112) ~ To get the Stringbean at this price is a steal. I do not foresee the pitchers' duel developing that I am sure many do. All Sale....all day. Watch how this kid rebounds off a mediocre outing....8 innings of shut-out ball, perhaps? For the record, LH batter are 2 for 35/.057 (singles) facing him. Let's see what Detroit comes up with? Chicago White Sox -1½ (+180) ~ Half value. Unless something goes terribly wrong here this may be the best line we see all season? I cannot see it, but stranger things have happened. As close to a triple-play as I have been. #20 for Abreu.....
**Arizona Diamondbacks (-107) ~ My early season faith in Feldman has dissipated and this looks like Miley's to lose? Hill may have a field-day.....Snakes -1½ (+180) ~ Half value.
Careful as these are "sucker" bets, right? A hair under 20/1 and 25/1 with the Snakes' RL;
Pittsburgh Pirates (-116)
Milwaukee Brewers (-114)
Cleveland Indians +1½ (-160)
Chicago White Sox (-115)
Arizona Diamondbacks (-108)
Stack 'em Up!