Re: Saturday a.m.

Back to business today after nailing a couple of late plays last night and ending up +2.47 units on the day

Cincinatti Reds ML (1.05/1.0) WIN

Let's face it, Brad Thompson has been absolute garbage lately. He hasn't gotten any run support in his last two outings either. I know the Cards are coming off a sensational come from behind thriller, but the Reds will rebound in the early game tomorrow. Thompson has faced the Reds twice already this year, and has no record (the teams split those games) However, after a decent start to the season, Brad has allowed 4 or more earned runs in his last three outings. He lacks a good strike out pitch, and the Reds should have seen him enough this season to take advantage and score early. On the other side, Owings had a great performance in his last outing allowing 1 ER against the Indians, after struggling mightly against the Blue Jays. He is 3-2 at home with a ERA between 4 and 5. His stats aren't great, but if he can avoid Pujols, he should be able to get some outs against the St. Louis lineup. Lastly, I often like to play the home team in early afternoon games, simply because they are more comfortable waking up and hitting the field in their home town. Just my opinion though.

Chicago White Sox ML (1.25/1.0) LOSS

I think the Chicago White Sox could score runs off just about anybody at this point. Their bats are hot, and they are facing a Royals team who are really struggling at the plate. I know I'm contradicting my earlier statement by going against the home team in an early game, but I don't think the Royals have any confidence at all. They got no run support for Greinke, and Floyd has been red hot lately. He's bound to cool off at some point, but I think the bats are hot enough that if he can limit the Royals to 3 runs the Chi Sox will get the win. Hochevar has also been good for the Royals, allowing only two earned runs combined in his last two starts. He did walk 4 though, and putting anybody on against the white sox is asking for trouble. I think the White Sox stay hot on the road for at least one more game.

Tampa Bay Rays ML (1.3/1.0) LOSS

David Price worries the hell out of me with his control issues, but I love the Rays lineup against Holland. This youngster has been getting rocked lately, and the speed and power of the Rays will be a nightmare for him. I expect a high scoring affair, but the Rays should win this one if Price can locate halfway decently.

Rockies ML (2.0/1.0) LOSS

Horrible value and I'm probably crazy for not playing RL here, but if I get the win I'll be happy. Short analysis on this one. Love Cook, and I've been on him most of the year. Rockies are incredible at Coors and Diamonbacks are slumping. No advantage with starting pitching tonight, I'm playing the Rockies all the way.

Thanks to RJ and the Pregame staff for my gold star nomination, let's all breaKeveN tonight! Card is now Final

Added the Rays play to my initial card

Really like all of these plays, buddy.  3-0 sweep is not at all out of the question!

I hereby recognize this post for a "Gold Star" per the Pregame Constitution's goal of informing & entertaining our community.

breaKeveN - for contributing solid picks PLUS analysis!

This Gold Star earns you an entry into our next Most Valuable Poster drawing for a chance at $1000 in cash! There's no limit to the number of entries you can earn, so keep up the good work!

Posts that contribute the most include:

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 BEST OF LUCK WITH UR M/L WAGERS ...

Congrats on the gold star, Breakeven!!  A chance at $1k ain't bad!

Thanks Dan, TCM, and RJ. I really appreciate it. Just got done roofing so it's time to kick back and watch the last game. Tough luck as the Royals came back to win, but I'm adding the Rockies as my final play of the evening.