We finish up Sept/Oct in the regular season on the losing side going 45-53 and dropping 10.65 UNITS. Overall on the MLB season, we end up on the losing side going 292-305 and dropping 9.09 UNITS. We just never could keep a groove, as we only had one really good six week stretch during the entire season. Those who say the MLB season is grind are RIGHT on the money. These numbers have been archived into my bio section here at Pregame. Last season we were RED hot in post-season MLB, lets see if we can repeat that this season. Here Friday's plays, I will update these win analysis at some point tomorrow.
2 UNITS Atl (Medlen) -163
Lohse to the hill for the visiting Cardinals with a 3.96 xFIP and .262 BABIP on the season. The hottest pitcher in the game takes the hill for Atlanta, as Medlen has posted a very good 2.97 xFIP and .261 BABIP. Medlen's numbers are even better when you look at the home and Sept/Oct splits, as he has posted a 2.87 xFIP/.267 BABIP at home and a 2.36 xFIP/.212 BABIP in Sept/Oct. Lohse does NOT pitch as well on the road posting a 4.12 xFIP/.273 BABIP. Lohse, however has pitched well down the stretch, posing a 3.34 xFIP/.284 BABIP in Sept/Oct. Each pitcher has faced today's oppenent once during the season, with Medlen going 5.2 innings, with a 4.76 ERA and .273 BA. Lohse went 5 innings with a 9.00 ERA and a 4.09 BA. The only downside I see to backing Medlen today are is relatively low BABIP numbers, but everything else points to Medlen and Atlanta. Lets back the home team here for 2 UNITS.
2 UNITS Bal/Tex UNDER 9 -115
Saunders to the hill for Balt today with a 4.25 xFIP and .305 BABIP. The Rangers answer with Darvish and his 3.52 xFIP and .295 BABIP. Saunders has pitched well down the stretch for the O's. There were no more than 9 runs scored in any of his Sept/Oct starts. Neither pitcher has faced today's oppenent so that should be an advantage early on for both starters. With this being a one game winner take all, each pitcher will be on very short leash today. Look for BOTH teams to use as many pitchers as needed in key situations. This one stays UNDER the posted totals of 9. Lets play the UNDER for 2 UNITS.
2012 MLB Postseason: 0-0 (+0.00 UNITS)
The lines are out on tex,/bal, I can't get them yet. Great pick on Atlanta, I am with you Sir!! Best if luck
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Game analysis added ....
best of luck in playoffs bob. had to look up some acronyms as i don't cap bb. good stuff, hope you sweep the playoffs.
BABIP (Link)
Batting Average on Balls in Play. This is a measure of the number of batted balls that safely fall in for a hit (not including home runs). The exact formula we use is (H-HR)/(AB-K-HR+SF) This is similar to DER, but from the batter's perspective.
FIP (Link)
Fielding Independent Pitching, a measure of all those things for which a pitcher is specifically responsible. The formula is (HR*13+(BB+HBP-IBB)*3-K*2)/IP, plus a league-specific factor (usually around 3.2) to round out the number to an equivalent ERA number. FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded. The theory behind FIP was first articulated by Voros McCracken and the exact formula was invented by Tangotiger.