Umpire Jordan Baker is behind the plate in the SDP/ATL game. He must be a new umpire because I can't find any stats for last year. This year he is 0-8 to the UNDER. The only problem I have with that is Volquez has just been horrible his last three outings pitching a total of 10 innings and giving up 15 er. So I think this is a bad matchup for the under angle. However, I do like Atlanta in the game and Baker is 8-1 for the favorites in games he's been behind the plate. I'll pass on the under angle in this one but I'll keep an eye out for Baker in future games.
3* ATL -161
2* PHILLY -140
2* LAD -139
2* STL -1 1/2 +125
2* OAK -120
2* NYM/CINN O8 -110
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2011-12 CBB REGULAR SEASON: 146-112 56.59% +44.58 units
2011-12 CBB POSTSEASON: 73-71 50.69% -13.33 units
2011 CFB OVERALL: 18-10 64.3% +15.38 units
2011 CFB FCS: 18-8 69.2% +20.98 units
2011 CFB SEMO: 7-1 87.5% +23.8 units
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In my view, one could argue that Baker's numbers will regress to a more legit O/U spread...its a small sample size of course...thus making an Over play semi-logical along with your Volquez factor.
Good Luck either way..
Dave Basinger
On Twitter @StatLabSports
Thanks for the top pool, I'll be sure to keep a lookout for this angle.
And good point StatLab, I thought of that myself, but I don't think I'll make a play on it
CFB 2012
5 units (18-5) +62.5 units4 units (28-17) +37.2 units3 units (28-25) +1.5 units2 units (21-15) +9.0 units1 unit (7-7) -0.7 units
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