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Well I enjoyed the break. Got a bit of a breather. Did some work on CFB, and even had a lucky win on the Under min the All-Star game. I really hope all the distractions are behind me and that I'm ready to have a good second half. If anything I feel good about the upcoming second half, but we shall see how it pans out.

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Dodgers/ Padres Over 6.5: I really wanna get this game out before it hits 7 overnight. We all know that the Padres have problems scoring at home (.2.98), but on the road they average 4.05 rpg, so they do score away from home. They do struggle vs lefties on the road, putting up just 3.1 rpg vs them away from home, but really they only need 3 runs in this one. Clayton Kershaw has a solid 2.57 ERA at home, but in his last 3 home starts he has allowed 10 ER's combined. Clayton also allowed 3 ER's on 8 hits in 5.1 innings of work here vs the padres earlier in the year. Clayton Richard has been solid at home this year, but on the road he has a 4.14 ERA, wild at night he has a 4.35 ERA. His road starts have averaged 8.1 rpg, while his night starts have averaged 9.2 rpg. Clayton Richard has 3 starts vs LA this year and he has a 2.70 ERA in those starts, but in his laone start he he allowed 4 ER's in just 6 innings of work. His 3 starts vs LA have averaged 11.3 rpg, while both of Kershaw's starts vs the Padres have put up at least 8 runs. I really don't see how both teams don't get at least 3 runs in this one. 

MILWAUKEE -147 over Pittsburgh: Google News Play James MCDonald has been excellent for the Pirates this year, with a 9-3 mark and a 2.34 ERA. He is 4-2 on the road, with a 3.54 ERA and 1 of his road starts were at Milwaukee and he allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings of work. Prior to the start vs them this year he did go 0-2 with a 10.62 ERA in his only two other starts he, so he can struggle in this park. Zach Greinke does not struggle in this park. The Brewers are 23-1 in his 24 home starts, while he is 15-0 with a 2.68 ERA in those starts. Not only does he have a solid ERA here, but he also has a 1.02 WHIP in this park. This year Zach is a 4-0 with a 1.89 ERA in 7 home starts, with the Brewers going 6-1 in those starts. The Pirates do score well on the road, at v4.4 rpg, but the Brewers score better at home (5.3 rpg). The nail in the Coffin for Pittsburgh is the fact that they are just 8-44 in their last 52 games played in this park. Pittsburgh has the best home record in the league, but on the road they are just 19-23 and that number will not get any better as the Brewers take game one of this series.    

Minnesota/ Oakland Under 8:  I tell you one thing, Francisco Liriano better not pick this game top go in the tank. I have been waiting for it since he came back from the Minors, but he has produced a 2.73 ERA since his return and he has has allowed 3 ER's or less in 6 of those 8 starts. He has a 5.05 ERA at home overall, but a 3.60 ERA in his last 5 starts here.  In his last 2 starts vs the A's he has allowed 2 ER's and has now allowed 3 ER's or less in 6 of his last 7 starts vs them. A.J. Griffin gets the ball for the A's and he has been solid in his 3 career starts this year. In his those 3 starts he has a 1.50 ERA in 18 innings and it has been an impressive 1.50 ERA, because of who he faced. In his first start he faced a Giants team at home. Now SF doesn't score well at home (3.33), but on the road they average 4.5 rpg. after that he went to Texas and allowed 0 ER's on 2 hits in 6 innings. Then he took on Boston at home and allowed 1 ER on 3 hits in 6 innings. His WHIP vs those teams is a mere 0.72. The Twins score 3.96 vrpg at home vs righties compared to 6.11 vs lefties, while Oakland hits lefties at a .221 clip and scores 3.9 rpg off of them on the road. The Twins pen has been solid in the last 10 games with a 3.48 ERA, while Oakland has a 1.97 ERA from their pen over that stretch. Looks like a Pitcher's duel in Minnesota tonight. 

Texas -135 over SEATTLE: Pride. Texas is a proud team and the last time they faced this team the Mariners won the last 2 in that series (at Texas) 10-3 and 21-8. In that 21-8 game Derek Holland took the loss and allowed 8 ER's in 1.2 innings of work. Both Derek and and the Rangers must be chomping at the bit to get some revenge for that last game. Derek always has problems at home, but he is 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA on the road this year and prior to that last start vs the M's he did have a 2.70 ERA in his previous 5 starts vs them, plus in 1 career start here (last year) he threw a CG shutout. Kevin Milwood has pitched well, with a 3.69 ERA, but the M's are just 6-10 in his starts this year. In his last 3 starts they are 0-3, despite his 3.68 ERA and that's because they have averaged just 2.3 rpg for him in those starts. At home this year Kevin is just 1-2 with a 5.29 ERA in 7 starts. He has pitched well vs Texas this year, with a 1-0 mark and a 1.05 ERA in 3 starts vs them, but with this being his 4th start vs them and with him facing an angry Rangers lineup, you can bet that Texas will finally tag him here. Texas can not relax in the second half, as the Angles are gonna make a serious run, and with them losing 4 of their last 6 vs the Mariners you can bet that Texas and Derek will be fully focused here coming out the break.     

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Detroit/ Baltimore Under 9 

Yanks/ Angles Over 8.5: Google News Play

1 UNIT PLAYS

Philadelphia -1.5 (+105) over COLORADO 

ATLANTA -1.5 (+135) Over NY Mets 

2 POWER ANGELS FOR TODAY  (3-3 -1.07 Units)

Since June of 2008, Toronto is 24-2 as a home favorite off a game in which they7 used at least 5 pitchers and it's not game 4 of a series. Play on Toronto -124 over Cleveland

Since May of 2008, Pittsburgh is 8-33 on the road if they won their starters last 2 starts and said starter is on 7 days or less rest. Play on Milwaukee -147 over Pittsburgh