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Dave's MLB Thursday Free 2* Winner

Thread Starter Dave's MLB Thursday Free 2* Winner
Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 17272
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Dropped the free forum play yesterday (sh*t happens), won the Triple Dime total - slight "off" day but not bad - BIG 3* going tonight, and here's some work.

906 MIL / 905 STLOVER 8 Pinnacle
Analysis: I feel compelled to explain here - first of all Martinez threw 118 pitches in five (or so) innings against teh Yankees the other night and that's almost fade material right there (which is why I like the Brewers here, actually), especially against a team that's seen him a fair amount. And of course there is that vaunted (pun intended) St. Louis bullpen. We're getting the #  because St. Louis hasn't been hitting or giving up runs, three straight 2-1 games. Well, the faced the Pirates who aren't hitting and had the Marte thing, so keeping them down is one thing, slowing down Milwaukee on the road might be totally another. That's especially true in what's typically an "over" venue. So, there's that. Then there is Zach Davies, who in three games has a WHIP of 2.02 and has been giving up a ton of fly ball outs that this park might not hold. And there's the Brewers pen which in the last week has been getting crucified and blown three saves. So, as square/uncool/obvious as this might be, I can't help but not try to out-think the room here. Either team is capable of putting up most of these runs by themselves. 

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From Deadspin:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind. 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

ProPickers
Joined: 06/29/2013
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Is the play the brewers? 2*

Bone
Joined: 04/05/2010
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Lol.   I was wondering to what was the play

CarsonK
Joined: 02/13/2014
Posts: 21827
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My guess is the OVER.

"I can't help but not try to out-think the room here. Either team is capable of putting up most of these runs by themselves".

Stew
Joined: 04/23/2008
Posts: 41979
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CarsonK

My guess is the OVER.

"I can't help but not try to out-think the room here. Either team is capable of putting up most of these runs by themselves".

Yup

I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

 

ppeterson0722
Joined: 12/12/2014
Posts: 539
College Varsity
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I'm looking at this game now myself.  I agree with the fade of Martinez and the iffy Cardinals bullpen, but I have a hard time relying on the Cardinals offense to provide any runs considering they haven't scored more than 3 since last Wed.  I like the Brewers TT O 3.5.

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 17272
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Don't panic - my "cut and paste" skills with new glasses are questionable.

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

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From Deadspin:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind. 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

GoUcBears
Joined: 09/21/2016
Posts: 24
Practice Squad
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Like that the bet is going against the steam.  Shows maybe people looking at the Pirates games.

Thanks

Dave Essler
Joined: 11/01/2009
Posts: 17272
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GoUcBears

Like that the bet is going against the steam.  Shows maybe people looking at the Pirates games.

Thanks

Not sure what you mean here, but I do see many of your posts have been referencing steam - LMK.

Dave's Home Page w/Marble Count and Daily Message

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From Deadspin:

Some forum posters have broken into the industry and have achieved moderate success while carrying themselves with professionalism and integrity. Dave Essler, of the pick-selling site Pregame, immediately comes to mind. 

"I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!"

pro212
Joined: 10/17/2008
Posts: 10616
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so over you go CASH IT

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