2016 MLB Record:
83-75 for +7.24 Units
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#1: St Louis Cardinals -127
Verrett is a fastball/slider type of a pitcher, which could be problematic against the Cards. They rank top-10 offensively against either offering, not to mention #1 overall offensively against righties. By comparison NYM are 14th offensively, middle of the road. Even more of an advantage is the starting pitching here though as Wainwright ranks as my #5 starter over the last 30-days. His 2.7 e-ERA (expected ERA) is half of Verrett’s 5.4 mark over the same span. Verrett, over the same time-span, has an 11% K-rate which matches his 11% BB-rate. Those starts came against 26th ranked PHI, 19th ranked MIA, and 16th ranked WAS offenses (rankings against righties). It’ll be much more difficult against the #1 ranked offense tonight. Dominant pitching and superior offense, translates to a strong play in this one.
Good Luck