We won our free one yesterday - but dropped the important one. Least we can do is share something to fade or follow.....
923 DET (+100) Pinnacle vs 924 MIN |
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Analysis: Fulmer is making his big league debut, and it couldn't be in a better park (big) or against a lighter hitting team. He's the Tigers' #1 pitching prospect and came over as part of the Cespedes deal. In the Minors he's averaged (all levels combined) almost a strikeout per inning, has only allowed 26 home runs in almost 400 innings, and has a 1.26 WHIP. Those are quite doable, and of course the Twins (nor anyone else) hasn't seen him before (F5 bet there, too). Add all those K's to the fact that Minnesota has struck out 10+ times in four straight games. Hughes throws strikes - but against the free-swinging Tigers that's been a perpetual problem. Cabrerra has 17 hits with five jacks in only 38 at bats - which is almost enough for me, but there are other Tigers' that have had plenty of success, albeit in far less at bats. We like to talk about how Target Field has been good for Hughes, but let's look closer. Over the last three years he's got a 4.72 ERA at home and allowed 43 home runs and a .286 batting average against - at home. The last three years against the Tigers he's allowed 56 hits in 41 innings and a .327 batting average against, and over half of that at home. Detroit has won four of five and at home this season their suspect bullpen has been MUCH better - only a 2.66 ERA. Detroit is 10-6 against RH pitching and 1-4 against LHP (which surprised me) and they're 6-4 on the road, having play at Kansas City, Pittsburgh, and Houston.
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