Coach Fletcher’s Tuesday Free Pick
Tuesday, September 1
5:10 pm Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
The Pick Pirates -150 Greek
Pitcher’s Duel as Pirates Start 17 Game Stretch Against NL Central
The Pitchers
Pirates, Cole Brewers, Nelson
- 15-7, 2.49 era 10-10, 3.87 era
- 7-4, 2.13 era road 4-3, 3.43 era home
- 1-1, 2.14 era last 3 1-1,5.28 era last 3
- 2-3, 2.80 last 7 3-1, 2.72 era last 7
- 7-5, 2.83 era last 15 8-4, 3.36 era last 15
- 8-6, 2.89 era night 10-7, 3.21 era night
- 1-3, 3.13 August 2-1, 4.03 August
- 2-4, 2.75 era post All-Star 4-1, 2.92 era post All-Star
- LH hit .224 against LH hit .299 against
- RH hit .255 against RH hit 1.93 against
- 38-19, 3.05 era career 12-19, 4.01 career
- 7 1/3 inn, 1 run, 5 hits last start (Miami) 3.1 inn, 5 runs, 4 hits, 8 BB (Indians)
- 2-2, 3.23 era vs Milwaukee 3-1, 2.22 era vs Pittsburgh
I’m going with Cole as best pitcher here. Something appear amiss with Nelson. He’s given up 9 runs, 14 hits and 12 walks in his last 15 1/3 innings. The walks are a sure sign that he has problems.
Bullpens
- Pirates – 2.73 road Brewers -3.68 home
- Another edge for the Pirate pitching
- Allow 3.6 runs per game Allow 4.5 runs per game
The Hitters
Pirates Brewers
- 4.2 runs per game 4.0 runs per game
- 4.3 runs per game road 4.2 runs per game home
- 4.2 runs per game vs RHP 4.0 runs per game vs RHP
- 3.6 runs per game last 7 4.6 runs per game last 7
- 4.2 runs per game night 4.3 runs per game night
- 3.8 runs per game division 3.8 runs per game division
- 9.02 hits per game 8.45 hits per game
- 0.85 HR per game 0.90 HR per game
- 13.71 total bases per game 13.33 total bases per game
- .260 batting average .251 batting average
- .395 slugging % .396 slugging %
- .322 on base % .305 on base %
The offensive numbers are pretty even. I’m willing to call them even and call it a day.
Odds and Ends
Pirates Brewers
- Plus 0.6 run differential per gm Minus 0.5 run differential per game
- +81 run differential (5th MLB) -70 run differential (25th MLB)
- 79-50 55-75
- 18-8 road fav -125/-175 0-9 as home dog +125/+150
- 33-29 road 30-39 home
- 8-6 w/day off 6-7 w/day off
- 21-29 against division 21-29 against division
- 55-37 night 37-48 night
- 62-38 vs RHP 40-61 vs RHP
- 28-21 after a loss 25-29 after a win
- 52-29 vs team w/losing record 34-50 vs team w/winning record
No contest here – huge edge to Pirates
Coach’s Conclusion:
This game is important for Pittsburgh. It means nothing to the Brewers. Cole appears to be in his regular form. Most of his losses came from lack of support. Something looks wrong to me with Nelson. Odds and Ends are tremendous edge to the Pirates. The Brewers 0-9 as home dog +1225 to +150 is particularly amusing. I’m going with the Pirates.
The Pick Pirates -150 The Greek