We have been doing good with this one in recent days.
today i have
Rockies/Reds OVER 11
We won't get a ton of innings out of Bulter for the Rockies tonight..That means the bullpen is in play for this game tonight for sure...Rockies have been swinging the bats rather well..They have plated a total of 20 runs in the lst 4 games...Thats a 5rpg per game..Not to bad an i expect them to be right around that mark tonight....Rockies at home are so much more dangerous though....They will face off against Reds RHP Desclafani...he has a ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.38...I worry he may walk a bunch of batters tonight in this game..If his slider is working here however, he may have success..He hasn;t pitched here all year though..This lineup is a challenge for sure and trying to get guys swinging away will be tough..he needs to hit his mark, but i'm not sold he will go very deep tonight either...Reds bullpen is rather bad as well..So we have two pitchers that generally end up on the bench early and two bullpens that can get lit up..We have plenty of power here tonight as well..If Frazier or Votto get a hold of a pitch here tonight it's gone..I like the first game of the series for the new team visiting..They try to swing for the big shot and the way this park plays we will see a few bombs here tonight..I think the 2 or 3 run shot is in order tonight for either side...Butler hasn;t seen much action for the Rockies..He was brought back up last week and he pitched a decent game..His numbers didn't count because the game he pitched was suspended..Overall his ERA is is a 4.80 and he can walk batters as well..We have a ton of speed on the bases tonight as well..These teams will manufacture some runs here tonight and get plenty of guys in scoring position...Don't be surprised if Descalfani get a hit or two in this game either tonight..The only sure out is Butler..So we have that working for us as well..This one may look like an under onthe surface, but i think this is a slugfest right from the gate...Don't be surprised if this numbers comes down here to 10.5...Waiting is the right idea here..11.5 won't surface.