Cashed the free one on the Fish F5 Thursday - 19-5 Free Plays - not that that's overly important. We're up about 90 units in 2015 - that is important. Yes, this is Friday so if you're looking for the Thursday Free Play it was earlier. I like to be prepared -
918 NYY (-115) Pinnacle vs 917 TAM
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Cubs-Fish: Cubs come back home after beating the Mets - so a first game back it is. Thursday's 6-1 win was the first time in nine games they'd scored more than two runs. Hammel won at Miami June 1st - striking out 11 Fish. Koehler has been terrible on the road (6.45 ERA/1.59 WHIP) so perhaps that big number is warranted. A more-or-less neutral weather day in Wrigley - I don't expect Miami to get many here, not without Stanton, although Bour has really picked it up. Not enough to take the Fish - yet.
Giants-Nats: Giants off a tough afternoon loss flying up from South Florida while the Nats play in Atlanta. Peavy perhaps pitching for a roster spot, although it's rumored that Hudson gets dropped after Cains' return. IMO they should have left Cain elsewhere, but they didn't ask me. Gio's ERA at home is more than three runs better than on the road, and he's had two straight low pitch-count games. Of course one of them was due to getting shelled at Tampa Bay. Hard ot bet against him at home, but I do like the Giants situation a bit better. Peavy coming off the DL is probably not an option - either way, the Nationals are not worth -160 to one of the mot sound teams in baseball.
Brewers-Reds: Hard to think that this game doesn't exceed nine runs. The Reds with a rest day and the Brewers playing in Philadelphia Thursday night - so travel a definite factor here. Fiers has been a feat or famine guy, and only one of his ten HR's allowed has been on the road - but if that's truly "stadium related" then Great American isn't going to be helpful. Lorenzen (I keep thinking of the Kentucky QB) and Fiers are both flyball pitchers - any play that would even consider the Brewers would be dependent on how many more arms they use in Philadelphia. Their pen has been solid lately, but it HAS been against Minnesota, the Phillies, and the Mets.
Phillies-Braves: The instinctive thing to do would be to take Teheran because he is thought of as very good, and fade Corriea because he is thought of as very bad. So, I would look for reasons not to do that. However, if Kelly Johnson has five homers in 30 at bats against Correia, I am indeed inclined to take the Braves and/or the over. Teheran has been hit pretty hard this season, save a game against the Mets, and he's thrown 100+ pitches in four of the last five games. It's hot in Altanta and this close to the AS break - I see him perhaps wearing down a bit and do lean over here - but I would much prefer 7.
Cardinals-Padres: I don't deny that the Padres are not as good against RHP as they are LHP, but -180 is a lot to ask of Wacha given the St. Louis injuries, and now they are without John Jay as well. That would instinctively lead my to think this one is low scoring, which would also lend itself to the Padres RL at a great price, assuming we can find a way that Cashner keeps the Cardinals from going off. He (Cashner) has had a couple of decent games - even the one he was pulled early from against the D-Backs was a result of a bunch of unearned runs. However, over the course of the season his WHIP is 1.47 (not great) and opponents have hit .282 against him - the only upside here is that St. Louis hasn't seen much of him. This ones' very dependent on Thursday's game - MAYBE San Diego F5 +.5 - we'll see.
Colorado-Arizona: Kendrick in a small park isn't something that flies real well. Well, the balls do but the bets don't. It might be tough to lay -160 with the D-Backs inconsistent offense, but if you were ever going to it would probably be with Anderson. The downside here is that the Rockies have beaten him badly, twice. I'm not sure how this game doesn't go over, but they're not usually that easy. This one could be - again, if Rusin and/or Hellickson don't last long Thursday and we get to the bullpens sooner rather than later.
Mets-Dodgers: Obviously I am not laying -240 or at least not as a premium play, and I refuse to take the -1.5 RL with a home team that may not get the 9th at bat. It's a rule with me - we broke it ONCE this season and sure enough, the Pirates had a 4-1 lead and won 4-3. Just NOT doing it. Since Syndergaard has been horrible on the road I might look at the over, seeing a how Kerhsaw is also a great hitting pitcher. The downside is that the Dodgers offense is just very inconsistent and they haven't seen nary an at bat against Noah and his Ark. Mets obviously flying coast-to-coast after another loss while the Dodgers rested. If Kershaw doesn't go 8 innings, the Dodgers' pen has been awful lately - and at 5.5 it's either the over or the Mets RL. Sorry.
Toronto-Detroit: The Pirates really made the Tigers look bad, and Detroit has been terrible with runners in scoring position lately. Right now Detroit is a .500 team and not having much of a bullpen is simply going to cost them dearly without anyone beyond Price you can count on for a quality start. Detroit has won Sanchez's last four starts, but they've given hom great run support. He's had seven straight games of 106+ pitches and allowed five jacks in his last two starts, so that would probably preclude me from taking Detroit. Because Hutchinson IS a flyball pitcher and he has NOT pitched into the 7th inning since May 20th - this could well be the polygonic over. I haven't looked at the weather or the umpire, however.