Went just 3-4-1 yesterday, but still had a winning day unit wise, because I went 3-1 in my 3 and 2 unit plays combined, hitting a nice dog play and a parlay in the process. Looking for another winning night tonight. BOL today Everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
LA ANGELS -127 over NY Yankees: I feel that a nice big run is coming from the Angels. this team is just too talented to be stuck in mediocrity this year. Ivan Nova had a very nice first start of the year, but he does not have good numbers vs the LA Angels, posting a 6.23 ERA in his last 4 starts vs them. The Yanks staff as a hole has struggled of late as they have a 5.59 ERA in their last 10 games overall and that includes a 5.04 ERA from their pen. The Halos will be sending Andrew Heaney, who was very good in his lone start vs the Astros this year, allowing just 1 ER in 6 innings, and he has the added advantage of never having faced the Yanks. These teams seem to be headed in opposite directions and I will go with the better all around team in this one.
Chicago/ St Louis Under 6 (-115): Great pitching matchup and my kind of game for sure. Chris Sale has not been as dominant as in the past, but h still comes in with a 3.02 ERA and an 0.98 WHIP overall. In his last 3 starts the White Sox are 0-3, despite the fact that he has a 2.95 ERA and an 0.84 whip in the three games. Those last 3 games have averaged just 4.33 rpg. Sale has never faced the Cards and St Louis is a poor hitting team vs lefties, which gives Chris all the edges here vs this Cards offense. Lance Lynn gets the ball for St Louis and he has been on fire of late, posting an 0.96 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In 6 home starts this year he has a 2.31 ERA with his home starts averaging just 5.17 rpg and going 5-1 to the Under. He will be taking on a struggling White Sox offense that has hit just .225 vs righties in their last 10 games and they have scored a total of 3 runs in Chris' last 3 starts. Classic 2-1 type game here.
BEST OF THE REST
2 UNIT PLAYS
Chicago -119 over NY METS: I am going with the Cubs in this one and this is a clear fade against Jon Niese, who is just not a strong pitcher this year. He does have just a 3.15 EA in his last 3 starts, but with a high 1.45 WHIP, while at home he is 2-2 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. He just puts too many men on base and the Cubs should take advantage of that. The Cubs have averaged 4.72 rpg on the road this year and they have hit lefties really well all season, while the Mets offense has really struggled of late as they have averaged just 2 rpg in their last 11 games. Kyle Hendricks has struggled this year, but vs this offense he doesn't have to be great. Niese is 3-5 with a 5.23 ERA in 9 starts vs the Cubs in his career and while the Mets have gone 29-11 at home they have not been good at home vs winning teams this year.
BALTIMORE -142 over Texas: The Orioles are 11-2 the last 13 in the series and 6-1 the last 7 games in the series played here. The have been an excellent home team of last and have won 16 of their last 21 overall, while texas is headed in the opposite direction, going just 2-7 in their last 9 games. Miguel Gonzalez has been excellent at home with a 4-0 record and a 1.89 ERA and while Colby is 4-3 on the road he does have a 4.59 ERA away from home, plue he has terrible numbers vs the O's, whole Gonzalez has good numbers vs the Rangers. I just can't see the Orioles losing two in a row at home, especially with the much better starter on the mound.
2 Team Parlay (Risking 2 Units To Win 6.40) Oakland -1.5 (+105) & Seattle +105
2 Team Parlay (Risking 2 Units To Win 3.68 Units) Oakland -147 & Houston -145
1 UNIT PLAYS
HOUSTON -148 over Kansas City: Dallas Keuchel has been amazing at home this year, while Danny Duffy has been very poor on the road and not just this year, but for most of his career. The Astros have been a strong team at home this year and showed it last nght with their 6-1 win. I say it continues tonight vs a pitcher that is very hittable. The Astros are 10-2 in Keuchel's last 12 home starts and I say that trend continues tonight.
LA Dodgers/ Arizona Over 9 (-105)
Washington/ Atlanta Over 6.5 (-120)
Cleveland -116 over TAMPA BAY
Kansas City/ Houston Under 7 (-125)
MLB 2015
Top Plays Overall 70-105-5 (-121.18 Units)... 4 Unit 0-1-0 (-4.60 Units)
Top Play Totals 43-46-5 (-27.69 Units)... Top Play Parlays 13-24 (-11.92 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 227-206-15 (+7.49 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 135-116-15 (+20.65 Units)... Best Of The Rest Parlays 5-21 (-7.95 Units)