It's always interesting how many views thread get, as compared to ones with actual plays/information - when there's emo/potential drama involved. I gave out the @Tigers free last night and don't think there were this many views. Anyhow, we are well beyond last night (and were last night) - but here's what I gave LT clients a few minutes ago, FWIW. I'll put it here because if I started a separate thread - it would be lost on page two by dinner time ~
People are all over the Cardinals and I get why - Martinez. But for real - there is probably regression coming sometime and obviously after a million shutout innings he's over valued. Without Adams and Holliday (and Molina sometimes rests in day games after night game - but I haven't checked yet) I could only take the Rockies. Bettis does not suck.
I am not touching that Jays game. Koehler CAN be decent - and I just don't know much about Copeland (other than there is a Stewart Copeland who was the drummer for The Police) and if I don't know, the Fish probably don't, either.
Both the Yankees and Washington are enigmas to me. We haven't been betting on or against them much, so I haven't seen many of their games - and we do like to stick to what we see/know. Gun to head, Yankees, but don't forget the Nats saw Eovaldi when he we with Miami.
I am seriously considering the Mets - perhaps the RL. Getting one of the most fundamentally sound teams (SF) in baseball with a wily veteran and a good bullpen over shadows Harvey IMO.
Not sure what to make of the Braves game - FOL for letting me leave them off last night. I do know Perez sucks - so PERHAPS a Padres F5 there.
You know we're not laying -185 with the Dodgers and I won't (that's just me) lay the RL with a home team perhaps not getting the ninth at bat. From a math standpoint, that 11% less at bats, potentially. Maybe once in a while - we'll look at the D-Backs RL or the total.
And speaking of having new people, and we have a lot, let me reiterate something many of you know. I play a lot of 1* plays and the occasional 3* - mix in a 2*. There is no way a Triple should be bet three times more than a 1*. It;s suicide - see last night for example. In my worlds, we'd use 1.5, 2, and 2.5* with the once-in-a-while 3* "unit". I suppose from a marketing standpoint that hurts me - and I keep threatening to just made 2* plays and be done, but changing mid-season might mess up my "marble count" that unfortunately matters. Why unfortunately? Because people aren't comparing apples to apples, and there are tons of plays we make that we don't account for, and I am sure "they" are ahead for the year. Moving on...
I can't bet on Porcello -but that line looks a bit suspect. Waiting.
Already answered some of you on the Tribe game - Walker once in a while will surprise - and BOTH teams are SO streaky - the total going UP (in spite of early tickets to the contrary) is a red flag at the moment.
"They" certainly love Tampa Bay, and "they" were right about the Halos last night (which I almost added with Atlanta but didn't want ten plays - risking the bottom falling out more than that thread says) - and that "sharp" Rays money actually started early last night - so this COULD be followers this morning. However, I won't (don't think) I can bet against Tampa Bay.
I have gone back and forth on the Twins game. Gibson has been horsesh*t lately, but I have seen him dominate. Volquez has been great lately, but I have seen him get crushed. Royals obviously the better bullpen (but used it last night) so maybe there's a F5 angles there. Time will tell.
Houston - what happened last night - both teams left them loaded, not scoring, with one or less outs early in the game or that total would have been easy. With that in mind, I tend to think the RISP hitting is very cyclical and lean under at the moment.
I'll wait on that Oakland game - when I looked last night I actually leaned Rangers a bit. Gallardo had pitched well against the A's hitters. Maybe F5 on the Rangers there, and lean under a little. Or at least F5 under.
Arrieta is obviously better than Greene, but do I trust him to pitch to a lineup without the pitcher batting. Interesting concept there, and do I trust the Cubs bullpen (no). I might just get cute and take the Tigers later - but I cannot trust the Cubs, period, so it's all about Greene IMO - and maybe F5 because the Cubs haven't seen him. Of F5 under because if Arrieta is going to be good (like they think) then that's a potential angle. Maybe the Tigers +.5 F5. Just thinking/typing out loud.
Let's see if we can't get this early one and build some momentum back - not that we lost much because although we lost a few "marbles" - we're way up for the year, and in actuality most of my thoughts last night were decent, we either had teams not execute when they had chances, or I left them off - but either way I can assure you we (I) didn't lose focus, just asset allocation :)