Play on Game #902 Washington Nationals (-1.5) w/ Scherzer
I'm going to lay the -1.5 runs with the Nationals who are one the hottest teams in the Majors right now and will have their ace on the mound tonight. Scherzer is a PERFECT 10-0 SU his last 10 home starts of a +200 or more home favorite and has won ALL 10 by 2 or more runs. This is a pitching rematch from earlier in the season when Scherzer and the Nationals won by a score of 7-2. Sullivan for the Phillies is a guy that does not impress me as he has yet to throw over 91 pitches in a game. He does not strike out very many hitters and is one road starts this season was the one I mentioned above vs. the Nationals when he took the loss, 7-2. The Phillies are 6-33 in their L39 games as an underdog of +201 or greater. Looking at their last 7 losses as un underdog of +201 or greater, they have ALL come by more than 2 runs with an average score of 7-3. I think we see another final score in the 7-2 range tonight. The Nationals have also had the benefit of getting a days rest while the Phillies are traveling to the East coast after playing a 4 game road set out West vs. the Rockies.
Play on Game #915 Texas Rangers w/ Lewis (7:05 PM EST)
I like Texas getting the money here with Lewis who has a 1.12 WHIP on the season. He has a 2.55 ERA on the road and I think he will be able to keep the Yankees under control as they are only averaging 3 runs a game over the last week while hitting .195 from the plate. Texas is hitting .258 over the last week scoring 4.5 runs a game. The Rangers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 road games and Lewis is 3-1 career vs. the Yankees. Pineda will be on the rubber for the Yankees and he is 0-3 career vs. the Rangers in his 3 team starts. The Yankees are now 1-7 in their last 8 games overall while Texas is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. I think the value is here definitely with the Rangers tonight. While Pineda has been solid this season; he did get roughed up last start and I don't know what to expect from him tonight, especially against the Rangers who he has never beaten. Let's look to cash with Texas as a nice sized dog tonight.