We enter the postseason on 13-4 & 36-14 MLB winning runs (through Wednesday, Sept. 24), playing just 1 game per day quite a bit over the last 6 weeks...something I typically do this late in the season.
The postseason does create a few unique factors you don't find in the regular season. I believe a bettor has to be willing to lay a price sometimes in the playoffs. It's no longer a situation where you look for dogs and nothing else with the limited number of games...and many times there are just too many factors pointing to the chalk.
Also, with the propensity of 1-run games in the playoffs...a higher percentage than we find in the regular season, bettors have to be extremely careful laying run lines. I can count on one hand, the number of times I have laid a run line in postseason play over the last several years.
As far as totals are concerned, I'll generally look for more lows (Unders) than highs (Overs) in postseason play. As the guys above have already mentioned...we generally get a little extra value in postseason play when looking to play Unders. But in a nutshell, there is no sweet science when it comes to betting MLB playoff action...at least not in my book. Know the pitchers. Understand which pitchers with glossy regular season stats are not up to snuff against top-shelf opposition...their day/night dichotomies, home/road dichotomies, etc. And be ready to factor-in bullpens even more, giving even more credence to relief staffs than we did from April through September.
When this postseason begins, we'll be looking to make it 9 winning postseasons over the last 11 years. So, for the most part, we'll keep looking to do what we have over the past decade plus.
Best of luck to all of us!
Follow Scott on twitter: @scottwins. Scott's Pregame home page: http://bit.ly/1cOTG0Q.