The Nuggets easily dismantled OKC at home and we've won our only play of the day. It was my third consecutive play w/ DEN and they really crushed their opponents in all three games… Moving on for today, as expected we have a big card to work w/ 12 games, so let's do it! Just a reminder: "It's a marathon, not a sprint"! As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!
Andre Gomes: Best Bets | Free Picks | BlogsBeyond the same-old-handicapping
NBA - 503 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 504 Denver Nuggets Play #1
This will be the third consecutive time that I’m playing the Nuggets and even though I don’t expect the same beating that DEN applied to LAL & BOS, I really expect the Nuggets to be super competitive. It all starts w/ Ty Lawson that is playing in an extreme high level. In the last game against the Celtics, Lawson had 5-10 FG, 8-9 FT & 19 points but he also found his teammates as well w/ 13 assists. Note that his opponent in that game was Avery Bradley, who is an excellent defender. DEN is running and gunning right now, they dominated the boards in all L3 games vs. MEM, LAL & BOS and even their defense is more aggressive by creating 15, 16 and 20 TO’s. I understand that OKC is in bounce back mode after being humiliated @UTA and Serge Ibaka is back, but OKC’s offense has not been the same without Westbrook. In the L5 games they had only 15, 20, 22, 28 and 18 assists – a good sign of lack of ball movement. OKC is 2-0 vs. DEN so far this season and Russell Westbrook was the MVP in both games: 1) 30 points, 12 rebounds and 7 assists and 2) 21 points, 13 rebounds and 8 assists. In the last h2h, I had one of my biggest plays of the season w/ OKC (Triple Dime Play), but since then, DEN has improved dramatically while OKC sans Westbrook will have natural problems to dominate teams, especially on the road.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 504 Denver Nuggets (+3.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NOTE: I've released two plays so far, both top plays w/ one of them being a Moneyline Triple Dime Play. Today's FREE Premium Play will be posted sooner or later...stay tuned!
FREE Premium Play for today added:
NBA - 801 Washington Wizards @ 802 Indiana Pacers
***FREE Premium Play***
The Pacers are 12-6 ATS as home favorites this season, and after losing one game, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS so what the hell I’m doing by going against them tonight?! Well, I think that the Wizards can be a competitive “dog” in this contest because the Pacers are in a bit of an offensive slump as of late, and their stellar defense by their own won’t be enough to crush WAS tonight. Now that Danny Granger is finally playing more minutes and being part of the Pacers offensive system… IND is struggling offensively. In L6 games, IND has a subpar avg. 97.7 Offensive Ratings and their A/TO ratio says it all about their offensive problems: 18.5 assists per game vs. 17.0 Turnovers per game. WAS has been rebounding well the ball w/ 54% rebounding/rate% L5 games, they are protecting well the paint by allowing less than 40 ppg in the paint L12 games and they even have the #7 ranked post up defense in the league. These decent numbers are important to “stop” IND’s post-centric offense. The key question for tonight’s game will be the matchup between IND defense vs. WAS offense… First of all, this incredible Pacers defense is forcing their opponents to shoot from the “worst shooting spot” long 2’s zone, and guess who is attempting more FGA’s from that spot? Yes, the Wizards! So we can say that WAS will be perfectly “OK” w/ taking these long range shots. Also, WAS’s “bigs” Gortat & Nene can shot from mid range, so IND’s best rim defense in the league won’t be tested tonight. The first h2h between these two teams ended w/ a 20-pts blowout win by the Pacers but note that WAS was coming from a tough OT game in the previous night AND ESPECIALLY, Nene Hilario & Bradley Beal didn’t play that game and both are nuclear players for the Wizards.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801 Washington Wizards (+9.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NOTE: FREE premium play write-up has been added. So far, I've released 5 NBA plays w/ 1 TD Play & 1 DD Play...stay tuned...