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Heat -4 and Thunder +6...Thoughts???

NBA
Thread Starter Heat -4 and Thunder +6...Thoughts???
calis cappin
Joined: 08/17/2007
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One of my outlets has heat -4 and another has thunder +6. I personally like the heat -4. What are your guy's thoughts?? Happy fathers day to all the fathers out there! Especially my man Goodfella. Long time follower. Appreciate all the hard work throughout the years! Bol to all!
jtwink
Joined: 04/29/2007
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Take them both and play the free middle!
Bryan Leonard
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Disregarding your like on the Heat, the correct move would be to take the Thunder +6. The market number is -4 across the board so you are getting an additional 2 points. If you were to get an additional 2 points in every NBA game you would be a rich man.

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EAZY_E
Joined: 04/04/2012
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If I was getting OKC +6. I would probably play a 2 team teaser and buy the 1 point to get OKC at     +11 & +/_ 0n the 194 Total if you know which way you want to go on that. I would play OKC +11 & OVER 189 or UNDER 199. Wish I could get an extra 2 points on all my games, I would quit my day job. Oops, I'm retired LOL.

BOL on all your picks.

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calis cappin
Joined: 08/17/2007
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That's what I did.  Thank you for the advice.  

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
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EAZY_E

If I was getting OKC +6. I would probably play a 2 team teaser and buy the 1 point to get OKC at     +11 & +/_ 0n the 194 Total if you know which way you want to go on that. I would play OKC +11 & OVER 189 or UNDER 199. Wish I could get an extra 2 points on all my games, I would quit my day job. Oops, I'm retired LOL.

BOL on all your picks.

This is the worst possible thing you could do.  You are being GIVEN two free points and you want to play a teaser?

If the market value is +4 and you are getting +6, you are paying -110 for a ticket worth around -132. 

If you took OKC +6 for $100 you'd have around $9.46 in equity.

By far the best option would be to put $1,000 on each side (still risking $100).  Your equity in this is around $75 on a $100 risk. 



[edited by: Lloyd Christmas at 2:26 PM (GMT -7) on Sun, Jun 17 2012]

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

calis cappin
Joined: 08/17/2007
Posts: 156
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FYI my last post was thanking BL for his advice as I took both sides at -4 and +6 respectively.  I rarely do teasers in nba. Don't think I played one this year.

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
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Good call.  Hope it hits for ya

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a bitch, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

CoverOne
Joined: 01/14/2011
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Im on OKC ML and over, BOL

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The Game
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Lloyd Christmas

EAZY_E

If I was getting OKC +6. I would probably play a 2 team teaser and buy the 1 point to get OKC at     +11 & +/_ 0n the 194 Total if you know which way you want to go on that. I would play OKC +11 & OVER 189 or UNDER 199. Wish I could get an extra 2 points on all my games, I would quit my day job. Oops, I'm retired LOL.

BOL on all your picks.

This is the worst possible thing you could do.  You are being GIVEN two free points and you want to play a teaser?

If the market value is +4 and you are getting +6, you are paying -110 for a ticket worth around -132. 

If you took OKC +6 for $100 you'd have around $9.46 in equity.

By far the best option would be to put $1,000 on each side (still risking $100).  Your equity in this is around $75 on a $100 risk. 

Lloyd,

Would it be possible for you to please provide a breakdown of how you came to these numbers?  I think I i understand the first part about paying -110 for a ticket worth -132 (based on push charts I believe) but the rest is tough for a math retard such as myself:)

"I mean really, I don't see why you people just can't watch the horses run around the track and not bet on them."

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