VR's NBA Playoffs "Market Update" for Sunday !!

Allright fellas, we'll get right to it...Sorry for not providing data on the early game but there's just so much work to do on Sunday morning, I couldn't find the time and instead passed along what I could via http://twitter.com/vegasrunner

Here's what's going on in the NBA Playoffs Betting Market for Sunday...

MIA at NYK :

There was NO doubt in oddsmakers minds that the HEAT would get a ton of action from the betting public especially after the Thunder got the sweep last night..More importantly, the FAV has cashed in all 3 games so bettors see no reason to jump off MIAMI for this one..

So oddsmakers sent out a higher price than Gm3 in an attempt to get the best of it since they'll be ONE-SIDED on the game and even w/ some "movers" grabbing +8 on the Home Dog, it's not nearly enough to offset all the cash on the Road Fav...In fact, add in all of the Parlays & Teasers tied in w/ Miami is this is by far the books GREATEST exposure for Sunday..

The TOTAL isn't getting much in the way of "straight bets" but it is being tied into plenty of exotics, with the OVER getting most of the love..Books did receive some wiseguy money on UNDER 184 but adjusted quickly since they won't have enough public money the other way to balance the action..

ATL at BOS :

Some good 2-way action on this game from the recreational bettors even after lowering the price on the Celtics from Gm 3..Wiseguys have taken a PASS on the Side so it'll be the public that leave books exposed. Having to lay 11 to win 10 should put books in an spot that won't warrant any adjustments and when this one tips off, it'll be BOS on EXOTICS that's providing the majority of risk...

The TOTAL is another story all together and after OT allowed Gm3 to go OVER..the public is coming right back with it again, especially since the number's lower. With this one being as low as it is, oddsmakers knew going in their clients, the books would receive heavy OVER money...BUT it seems they also know the wiseguys would come in and STEAM the UNDER to offer up some balance..

Though it won't be nearly enough to compensate for all that public money that's being wagered on STRAIGHTS, PARLAYS, & TEASERS...books have the comfort of knowing they at least find themselves on the so called "sharp side" on top of their built-in edge..

Bottom line..the "public's" done better than the wiseguys thus far in the playoffs..but books are still willing to steer their bettors away from the sharps whenever possible.

LAL at DEN :

The nightcap on the final day of the week will almost always receive the MOST money and have a ton of "live" action pending from early exotics..And even though the Lakers didn't come through for bettors in Gm3, it's NOT stopping them from coming right back with LA in Gm4..

Oddsmakers were well aware of this and that's why we're seeing a lower price to back the Home Team who was in a "must win" type setting the other day..and most will argue, are once again..

Wiseguys have yet to take a position on the SIDE for this game so unless they come in on the Home Team like they did "late" the last time they played, books will find themselves extremely EXPOSED on the Lakers..

I asked 2 different "movers" if they're waiting for +3..but so far they claim to have no such buy-order on their list.

Books will find themselves in a great spot on the TOTAL which should help some since it's being bet BOTH way by recreational bettors on EXOTICS with earlier games..So even though this one is late, that's usually a sign of where the "straight bets" will come in later on..

Best of Luck and Enjoy the Games, VR