Monday NBA - Courtesy of Tony George
Spurs +1
I am drinking the Kool Aid here. This line stinks to high heaven and I should be looking for the rat in the mix here, but I cannot figure this line. Opened at +1.5 is is dropping, looks like a set up line, but I just cannot figure it. The Spurs have played the Griz twice this season and beat them by double digits, last one 10 points at Memphis. The Griz have dropped their last 2 games and the Spurs have ripped off 4 in a row including beating Oklahoma City last game out. I realize the Spurs have absolutley stunk it up on the road this year, and do not have a great ATS trend in this series, but Memphis has Tony Allen out tonight at guard where they are thin already!
Tony Parker went off for 42 in his last game and the Spurs are better in the backcourt and THIS IS A WINNABLE ROAD GAME. I have this line at -4 on power ratings for the Spurs and I am getting a point here. Thats a 5 point5 overlay, and I cannot for the life of me figure this line, so I am taking the point here. Memphis has struggled to 88 ppg on offense their last 5 games and allowed 91. The Spurs are a better team and can score from the perimeter.
Small lean to San Antonio.
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