The NBA Season is down to the last 10 or less games for the teams. There is drama at the top of the Standings as Boston and Cleveland are in a virtual tie, and the Spurs are only 2.5 behind Golden State.
Cleveland remains the prohibitive favorite to win the East, and one has to question those odds. Clev is giving up almost 114 points per 100 possessions since the AllStar Break, and that is the 2nd WORST D EVER post AllStar Break in the last ten years (The Laker Team this year is even worse at almost 115). One HAS to wonder how Clev is going to suddenly turn this around, especially given they have 10 games left in an unfavorable schedule with 3 back to backs. (Boston has only 8 games left, and a favorable schedule).
At the Bottom of the Standings, Brooklyn will have the worst record, but Phoenix and the Lakers are in a battle to see who can lose more to get the 2nd worst record.
Check out the ratings (I show LAST week, and this week). Additionally, I have included HFA for select teams. To get a projected spread, take the difference and add in HFA. Note, if the calculated spread is above 10, you need to bring it down a bit, to reflect the fact the 4th quarter will likely be evenly played if a team is up double digits......
What do you guys think? What team do I have that is off?
HFA (Most Teams use 3):
Higher HFA (4): Gst, LAL*, OKC, Por, Clev, Det,
Lower HFA (2): Den, Sac, Brook, NY
*The Lakers play MUCH better at home, this could well just be because they are tanking, and they do so much more on the road THIS year.......
|
March |
|
|
20 |
27 |
Dallas |
0 |
-1 |
Denver |
0 |
1.5 |
G state |
8.5 |
8.5 |
Hou |
6.5 |
6.5 |
LA CLIPS |
4.5 |
4 |
LAL |
-9.5 |
-10 |
Mem |
2 |
2.5 |
MIN |
0.5 |
0 |
NEW ORL |
0 |
0.5 |
OKC |
2 |
2 |
PHX |
-7.5 |
-9 |
POR |
0 |
0.5 |
SAC |
-7 |
-6.5 |
SA |
7 |
7 |
UT |
4.5 |
4 |
|
|
|
ATL |
0.5 |
-1.5 |
BOST |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Brook |
-8.5 |
-8 |
CHRL |
-2 |
-1.5 |
CHIC |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
CLEV |
4.5 |
4 |
DET |
0.5 |
-1 |
IND |
0 |
-0.5 |
MIA |
1 |
1 |
MIL |
1.5 |
1.5 |
NY |
-6.5 |
-6 |
ORL |
-6 |
-6 |
PHIL- |
-4 |
-5 |
TOR |
2 |
2.5 |
WASH |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
|
|