Multiple plays on Atl:
FH +4.5 (-115) for 2 units
FH/ML +200 for one unit (risk 1 unit to win 2 units)
1Q +2.5 -115 for 2 units
1Q ML +155 for one unit (risk 1 unit to win 1.55 units)
Game +8/-120 for 1.5 units
Support- LY and TY in Playoffs (since LBJ's return), Cavs are just 1-4 ATS with average win margin of just 1.5 points in their 5 home playoff games as a a fave, after a SU win in their last game, where series was even or Cavs were up 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1, and equally bad vs FH line in those 7 key PO home games (1-4 ATS vs FH line with average HT lead of just a half point). And worst of all, Cavs are an ugly 0-5 in those 5 games vs 1Q line, with average deficit of 5 points after 1Q. In sharp contrast, in L3Y of playoffs, when down 0-1, 0-2 or 1-2 in series and playing as a road dog, Atl is 4-1 ATS vs FH line with average HT lead of 4.5 points, 4-1 vs 1Q line with an average lead of one point after 1Q, and 2-3 ATS vs game line but with average losing margin of just 1.5 points, with one of those 3 ATS losses being in OT.
Combining and averaging those full game and FH ATS results and margins for both teams results in a huge 8-2 ATS edge for Atl over Cavs vs FH line and a projected HT lead of 2 points, an even bigger 9-1 ATS edge over Cavs vs 1Q line and a projected lead of 2 points after 1Q, and a decent 6-4 ATS edge for Atl over Cavs vs game line and a projected narrow 1.5 point game loss.
GL if you decide to play along with me.
Great Owl