Unknown said:
Common sense if Lebron says he is staying in Miami , no shit the odds "will shorten up" ,
Madman, it's quite clear you are looking to get a rise out of me but I wouldn't lower myself to your level. A number of people have sent me direct messages warning me about you so I'm not going to interact with you going forward as your hatred adds nothing to the forum and is ruining a very interesting thread.
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They warned me about you to, fighting with Dr Ed, and RJ Bell in the other thread, so did they message you after or before you put down Americans with your European bullshit?, if you forgot where you crack on Americans being handicappers, allow me to refresh your memory
I've been busy with other things lately, this forum is just a hobby to me. I get bored with the 'handicapping' bullshit on here. Only a very few peoples opinions on any sport is worth anything gambling wise yet ordinary Americans love inventing themselves as "handicappers" and using stats and trends to justify being on the "right side". It's just bullshit. My way is not a system it's a fundamental fact, a bookmaker can't lay a price above the exchange...
Fooled by Randomness - A monkeys expected win rate.Everything Else
I'm not a sports handicapper, in fact I know very little about US sports. However I do know about markets and market efficiency. I believe that someone betting randomly into strong/liquidity-high lines is expected to win no more or less then 5%. I don't understand how some handicappers suggest waiting for the game off to back dogs because 'public' money drives up the line. Is there any data anywhere that proves that games involving the highest levels of 'public' money have...