A few quotes from an LA Times article published yesterday evening:
Golden State home court advantage: "The Clippers have lost their last five regular season games against the Warriors at Oracle Arena, and 15 of their last 17. The Clippers' last win in Oakland was on Dec. 25, 2011."
Chris Paul right hamstring injury/ injury history: "During the Clippers' 40-point victory over the Warriors in Game 2 on Monday night, Rivers thought Paul had "tight legs" because of the hamstring. It's been an injury-riddled season for Paul. In the regular season, he missed 18 games because of a separated right shoulder. And in the last two years he's had to play through injuries in the postseason."
Chris Paul is the most important player for the Clippers, and he is far less than 100%. Good luck to him guarding Curry who has the quickest shot in the NBA. I'm fairly confident Paul will not be able to cut nearly as well as usual, nor shoot the long ball nearly as well as usual. This is bad news for LA. On top of that, this will be the first playoff game of the year played in Golden State, where the Warriors are nearly perfect against LA at 15-2 SU in their last 17 games. You can bet that the crowd will be absolutely rocking. DESPITE ALL OF THAT, the Warriors are GETTING three points. The wrong team is favored here, certainly an overreaction from the blowout in game two, and while it is no lock, it is absolutely a VALUE play to take the Warriors plus the points. I think this game will close at Clippers -2.5 so I will be taking the Warriors now at +3. BOL to everyone tonight.
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-clippers-warriors-20140424,0,176000.story#ixzz2zqBQCUKA