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Thread Starter NBA PLAYOFFS: 'Game-of-the-Month Time' | Bonus Teaser
Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
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NBA PLAYOFFS: 
Game of the Month in Massachusetts 

2012 NBA EASTERN CONFERENCE PLAYOFFS

Monday, May 14, 2012 | 7:10 PM, EDT | TNT
TD Garden | Boston, Massachusetts

GAME 2 | EAST SEMIFINAL
8 PHILADELPHIA 76'ERS
4 BOSTON CELTICS

(Boston Celtics lead Series 1-0)
Celts escaped Game 1 by the skin of their well-worn front teeth 
Utilizing every ounce of Vet experience & Grit
Not to mention, conventional home-cooking
To eek out a classic Celtic 1-Point Win
Very much what we’d expect from Boston,
C’s Now 3-1 in 2012 Playoff Close Games

Taking a deeper look at the Game 1 numbers
Reveals many things about trends that a rusty Celts Team should improve upon &
Great many Philly Playoff shot-selection trends
ESPECIALLY, Game 1 Sixers’ trends on offensive end
Give 6’ers exceedingly little wiggle room for Game 2 success

So, we come full circle…back to our $-Making Premise:
“What are the odds that…”
ODDS: BOS 11% from deep?
ODDS: BOS “Other-than-Ray” going 0-Fer from deep (0-11)?
ODDS: BOS is outscored in PAINT AGAIN (40-38)?
Answer is, of course, UNLIKELY
 ODDS: BOS Matches PHI Bench Again? 
(Pretty GOOD, here w/Ray Allen continuing to fuel BOSTON'S 2ND SHIFT)
Bringing Ray Allen off the Boston Bench is another beautiful move by Rivers
As PHI had led the NBA in Bench Production all season 
NOW, Ray Allen JUST TWO MADE THREES (2-7)
Still forces PHI’s Hand, Causes an unenviable decision for HC Collins
To Keep Turner/Igudaula/Holliday in Game
Adding more Minutes to an already overworked PHI Backcourt,

Or, Does Philly Double Ray Allen; only to have BOS is really making their push, 
BOS Made 4 Multi-Possession Point (+) Moves w/Ray Allen in Game; since PHI played the %’s &
BOS Xtra Passing allowed C’s to stay in Game

BOS HC Rivers doesn’t necessarily have more Coaching acumen than PHI HC Collins
Rivers simply knows his Team so much better, and used these players masterfully
BOS escaped the Rust & Sixers’ GREAT SHOT at a Steal
PHI blasted Bulls in Game 2 Last time thru - I do NOT think this will occur here

Boston is alert; They have the knowhow to counterpunch PHI

Moreover, 
BOS did BETTER JOB THAN ANY TM IN RECENT MEMORY vs. PHI, in Getting to Paint

BOS 4 DUNKS (+2)
BOS 16-23 FG AT RIM

Look like ‘good not great’ Paint work
Reality: FOR BOS vs. PHI? These are outstanding numbers

WHY?
BOS #30 (Reg) % of Points-in-Paint (34.5%)
PHI #1 (Reg) Fewest Allowed Made Shots at Rim/Gm 'D' (11.2/Gm)

This may seem to be a long string of circumstantial numbers
I cannot stress enough how this IS NOT THE CASE

BOSTON – QUITE SIMPLY, MAKES DELIBERATE EFFORT
TO ATTACK OPPOSING TEAMS STRENGTH(S)

KG’s got mucho miles on them spindly beans
Yet, frankly, Dude looks awfully freaking strong Game-in, Game-out
(As does another ‘OLD’ Player out West, Tim Duncan)

Boston’s Vets’ – reportedly (According to Jackie McMullen)
Is “pissed & disgusted” at their nearly pissed away Game 1

PHI hit so many deep, low-% shots
Similar to PHI’s multiple 30’s (FG%) Gms in Rd 1 vs. CHI
Likely to see Sixer Mid-30-‘s Gm from tonight in Beantown
w/history as our consistent indicator
 
Also,
BOS Ray Allen will almost certainly get some perimeter help from:
BOS Paul Pierce (8-24 Deep in Playoffs till Gm 1 vs. PHI)
BOS Kenyon Dooling (5-9 Deep in Playoffs till Gm 1 vs. PHI)
BOS Mickeal Pietrus (2-13 Deep in Playoffs till Gm 1 vs. PHI)
BOS Rajon Rondo (3-6 Deep in Playoffs till Gm 1 vs. PHI)
 
Really like Boston to fly over this number & win 92-81 Type Game

Game-of-the-Month
4 UNIT
PHILADELPHIA
BOSTON -4 (Bet Online)

___________________

Huge week aside from Playoffs ahead,
Lots of Travel & more, thrilling new-work opportunities wait
We’ll hopefully get a moment to
Throw some explanation of this Spurs/Clips Pick
Teasers have killed (4-1)

2012 NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE PLAYOFFS

Tuesday, May 15, 2012 | 9:35 PM, EDT | TNT
AT+T Center | San Antonio, Texas

GAME 1 | WEST SEMIFINAL
5 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
1 SAN ANTONIO SPURS

 
1½ UNIT | 4½-POINT TEASER 
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -6½
To
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
SAN ANTONIO SPURS | OVER 187 (-120 | Sportsbook)

___________

All the best, guys


[edited by: Stevebeav at 9:31 AM (GMT -7) on Mon, May 14 2012]

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

dennistyler
Joined: 12/12/2009
Posts: 12599
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All the best, Steven!

ATP - French Open Winner - David Ferrer (+4000)

jv wins
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Was thinking celtics too,philly came close first game but came up short,got to be disapointed,maybe a letdown coming in game two knowing a home game coming,B.O.L.

jv wins's last 7 days record in all sports
Griff
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Agreed Stevie, GET MONEY!!!! Love this game under the total as well; Doc Rivers is about as good as it gets in Series game to game adjustments!

"EVERY DOG HAS HIS DAY"

Stevebeav
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Posts: 6241
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TonyAtlas

so the pick is boston? sorry just your writing style is confusing

Game-of-the-Month
4 UNIT
PHILADELPHIA
BOSTON -4 (Bet Online)

Yes, the play is BOSTON to Win by more than 4 Points.

I appologize if these writeup stylistics are confusing...they are not meant to be

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

mobig wins
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Great job BEAV Doug Collins is doing a great job with this Sixers team and I think they will be motivated.I don't know if this is enough for me to play the 76ers. I can't grasp why the line is only 4 I thought it would be around 6. Best of luck bro, thanks.

Prime winners to u
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Philly plus 4, will get the $$$.
Stevebeav
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Posts: 6241
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I agree w/Collins...just like Boston w/their re-calculations to force PHILLY to play much the same as they did in Game 1; where the Sixers hit an abnormally HIGH number of very deep shots, (11-33 from 10-23 Feet) EXACTLY how & where C's would want them to do so; in the Bermuda Triangle of the NBA Shot Chart; 16-23 Feet..& Sixers' shooting many of them OFF-THE-DRIBBLE, where Coaches insist the average shooters' FG% drops by 8-15% per attempt. (vs Catch-&-Shoot).  Sixers - regardless of Coach-Speak, are so young & inexperienced, the memory of hitting so many of those inevitably leads to tendancies to jack em up more & more...they just don't statistcally drop at that Rate (PHI Jumpers 23-58 | 40%)

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

Stevebeav
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Posts: 6241
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Should be a good one, PW2U

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

Stevebeav
Joined: 10/09/2007
Posts: 6241
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Bad call.  No excuses.  -4 Units ... Unacceptable number of bad losses since 6-0 start to playoffs.  (7-7 since)  Vow to take a step back & reassess the numbers & hit it that much harder till the end of the Finals.  Onward

Way-Out-West, LLC ™ | INVIGORATING SPORTS ANALYSIS | stevebeav.blogspot.com | #Stevebeav
"Winning is determined by ones appropriate response to Losing" | Sleep? Overrated
BEAVER NATION: Powered by Orange | Overachieving Since 1868 | "Great Day to be a Beaver"

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