New York Knicks are 11-pointunderdogs vs. Miami Heat on Wednesday.In the last 10 years of NBA playoffs,61 teams have been double-digit underdogs:Only 5 of those big underdogs won the game (8.2%), while 56 lost!Those same double-digit underdogs were only 25 of 61 (41%) against the Vegasspread.
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WOW! Heat ATS in double-digits regular season is 9 wins and 9 losses. In this series, 1 game in DD spread...and it pushed. Thanks RJ!
Don't Be Stupid
Discipline, young purks. Discipline.
correction: 8 Losses. So 53% cover/win as favorites. But, again, regular season.
Take it or leave it
Game 1 -33 MIA
Game 2 -10 MIA
Game 3 -7 MIA
Game 4 NYK -2
Add up the Heat minus 2 for NYs win last game,
divide by 4,
and you get MIA -12.
Take it or leave it, I think that's how Pinnacle, CRIS or Greek came by that number
Is this not evident that the Knicks/Woodson have adjusted accordingly to how the Heat play? I understand that the Knicks will have to rely on Bibby/Douglas at point but they still have Amare and Carmelo. I think the Heat -11 is just too much because they have to keep the public Heat bettors away from the game so they inflated the line. You also have to think that the Heat should have been winning by even more the recent games because of Knicks injuries. All signs point to take the Knicks +11 in this one... and who knows, Lin might actually come out and play for 10-20 minutes if the docs clear him (This would be huge for MSG since the Asian market would go CRAZY).
I'm staying well away from this pick, but gotta lean on Miami's home court with that locker room.