NBA Playoffs Friday Night !!
Yesterday's Premium Play - Warriors = Loss
Yesterday's Free Play - Braves = WINNER
**Overall not to happy with how the Warriors have executed with big leads. I took a shot and went against the grain i feel backing that team laying that kind of number..It's pretty clear that team is way over valued right now..Quick look at last series...GS was favored at home over Memphis by 10.5 and 10...On the road Warriors a 5.5 / 5 pt fav...Now that same number at hom ehas been adjusted down to Warriors -1....Something to keep an eye on in regards to the lines...Still this team fails to shut teams down when they have big leads and it goes to show a lack of focus and how the Warriors think when they are up big on teams..Credit to Harden for keeping his team in the game the last 2....Braves go off in the 7th as Will Smith gets ejected for a foreign substance and the Brewers bullpen gets smacked around..Braves roll 10-1.
Today's Free Play (1)
902 WAS -1.5 (-125) 5Dimes vs 901 PHIAnalysis: I see some value at this price laying the 1.5....Scherzer has looked like a beast on the mound so far this year. His ERA is sitting at 1.75. That number is a little off because of one bad outing 4 games back in which Scherzer still got the win...It's just tough to get more than 1 or 2 runs off this guy period...In 14 innings of work Scherzer has limited the Phils to 10 hits and 2 ER with 17 strikeouts....So what can we expect today?...7 innings 5 hits 1ER and 8 or 9 strikeouts....Just rollin the dice with that , but that looks pretty good to me. He faced Philly twice and is 2-0. He looked even better the 2nd time around at home. Only allowing 4 hits 1 ER and 9 strikeouts....Philly is coming off a road trip now from Colorado..Ya gotta wonder how the legs will be for the Phillies coming back east and on the road again...Harper and Zimmerman have been on fire and Escobar and Ramos are doing all of what they need as well...This Nationals team does one thing well that i know of..Cash tickets..We can dig into stats, but this is the best team in baseball right now..Philly is hitting the ball here and there, but they are no match for Scherzer on the road tonight...Nats have won 18 of 22 and they don't seem to be slumping in any direction right now...How many 1 run games do they have in that stretch of winning games?....5....Against much better competition then what the Phils bring here tonight..Nats should take care of business here at home...Harper will not get thrown out of this game tonight at home...Nats roll large against Sullivan who is just not ready to deal with this lineup tonight..Sullivan is 1-2 on the year and has a ERA of 3.68...He hasn't gone further than 6 innings and him lasting longer than that tonight against this lineup would be a shocker to me...He is a low strikeout kinda guy and not getting guys to strikeout in with this lineup is a disaster to teams..He hangs pitches and if he does that tonight, we will see a bomb shot from the Nats in this one..Phils bullpen isn't all that bad, but the numbers just don't add up here for the Phils contend against this team.
MLB Free Play Run / 20-12
3*** Run /L62/ +52.05 Units
Best of Luck !!