#1: San Antonio Spurs +2.5
The 'underdog' is now 5-1 ATS in this series and I think that's the place to look at tonight as well. We can discuss the Spurs' Championship 'pedigree' and their advantage with their head coach, but I think the biggest factor in tonight's game will be San Antonio's depth. Typically in the playoffs 'depth' isn't a big factor as rotations get shortened and star players play bigger minutes regardless. But when you are in a 7-game series, sometimes it very well could be. The two Clippers superstars have logged huge minutes lately. Griffin played 43, 41, and 41 in the last 3 games. Paul played 38, 41, and 44 in the last 3. And LA has had others like Jordan and Redick, log huge minutes as well. By comparison, Spurs have had only one player with 40+ minutes in the last 3 games and that's Kawhi Leonard. Of course he's much younger than Paul (23 vs 30 in a few days for Paul) and smaller than Griffin, thus better suited to play more minutes. At the end of game 6 Griffin was visibly fatigued as him and his teammates have given it all to try and stay alive in the series. Besides Leonard, no one else logged more than 32 minutes on the Spurs in that game. I think San Antonio has an edge from the physical standpoint tonight and I'll grab the points with the road team in this one.
Good Luck